Skip to main content

Zachary PerelesSep 21, 2026

With Caleb Williams (hamstring) and Jayden Daniels (dislocated elbow) hurt in Week 2, Pereles says the backups take over: Tyson Bagent starts in Chicago while Williams is out, and Marcus Mariota starts in Washington until Daniels returns. They also suggest a Grade 1 strain would cost Williams roughly a game or two.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

Waiting2 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 2Settled2 still waiting
2Waitingnot graded yet

What Zachary Pereles said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Tyson Bagent will start for the Bears for as long as Williams is out.
Zachary Pereles, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels injured in Week 2: What's the outlook for Bears, Commanders signal callers?
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Marcus Mariota to be 1st on the depth chart“Marcus Mariota will start for the Commanders until Daniels returns.”
  2. 2Tyson Bagent to be 1st on the depth chart“Tyson Bagent will start for the Bears for as long as Williams is out.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Marcus Mariota to be 1st on the depth chart1Depth Chart Calls————
Tyson Bagent to be 1st on the depth chart2Depth Chart Calls————
2 calls · 2 waiting——

How each call scored

2 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Tyson Bagent · 2026 season

30 calls from 18 pundits between 1 and 3. Zachary Pereles said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet

Zachary Pereles — 1the room — 30 calls from 18 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against the room

1They said
1The room (9 pundits)

Their call against everyone else's, while this is still unsettled.

  1. 1Depth Chart CallsMarcus MariotaWashington Commanders

    Marcus Mariota to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Depth Chart CallsTyson BagentChicago Bears

    Tyson Bagent to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.