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Pete Martuneac· Oct 11, 2026

Martuneac predicts the Bears dominate the Packers in Week 5, winning 31-13, with Tyson Bagent starting in place of a sidelined Caleb Williams and D'Andre Swift rushing for 120 yards.

“Final Prediction: Bears win 31-13”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 1 availability call, 1 depth chart call, 1 player season number and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 35.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

Where this call stands in the room

Tyson Bagent · 2026 season

28 calls from 18 pundits between 1 and 3. Pete Martuneac said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet

Pete Martuneac — 1the room — 28 calls from 18 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

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Who this take is about

The game in this take

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Score PredictionsChicago BearsOct 11, 2026

    Chicago Bears 31 — Packers 13

    “Final Prediction: Bears win 31-13”

    Miss · 36Scored 35.71a naive guess scored 50-25.43 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    7-31
    skill:
    −25.43
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    35.71
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    24
    weeks left when called:
    14
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    18

    Closing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 31–13 calls a bigger Bears win (by 18) and fewer points (44).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Player Season NumbersD'Andre SwiftChicago BearsOct 11, 2026

    D'Andre Swift to record 120 rushing yards

    “Bagent should have plenty of time to pick apart Green Bay's secondary while Swift runs for 120 yards.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Availability CallsCaleb WilliamsChicago BearsOct 11, 2026

    “Caleb Williams practiced with the team on Friday and was marked as 'Questionable' on the Bears' final Week 5 injury report, but you shouldn't expect to see him play today.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Depth Chart CallsTyson BagentChicago BearsOct 11, 2026

    Tyson Bagent to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Ben Johnson named Tyson Bagent the starter early in the week and that's almost certainly who's going to be leading the Bears against the Packers.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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