Mike Moraitis· Oct 9, 2026
Previewing the Bears-Packers Week 5 matchup, he states Tyson Bagent will again start at quarterback for Chicago, while framing Green Bay's receivers, pass defense and return game as threats. The rest of the piece is descriptive analysis of season-to-date statistics rather than forecasts of outcomes.
“This week, Bagent will get the start once again after Case Keenum filled in for Williams in his first game out in Week 3.”
published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →
One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The game in this take
- Eagles at Bears 27 calls
1 checkable claim in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Depth Chart CallsTyson BagentChicago BearsOct 9, 2026
Tyson Bagent to be 1st on the depth chart
“This week, Bagent will get the start once again after Case Keenum filled in for Williams in his first game out in Week 3.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-178 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CHI
- week:
- 3
- skill:
- −178
- player:
- Tyson Bagent
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he starts
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- reported:
- he did not play that week
- naive slot:
- 2
- settled by:
- weekly snap counts (he took no snap in the game)
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- the naive guess:
- he keeps the job he had last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
What others said about the same people
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- Nick WrightSeason Win Totals · Chicago BearsHit · 100In part two of his gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles.
- Gregg RosenthalSeason Win Totals · Chicago BearsMiss · 0Rosenthal's under picks and a few freebie leans: Colts under 7.5 (possibly the worst team), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5 (possibly 2-15), Bears under 8.5, plus stated likes on Dolphins under 8.5, Giants over 5.5 and Ravens over 11.5.
- Kyle CrabbsMock Draft Picks · Mykel WilliamsHit · 96Crabbs projects all seven rounds of the 2025 NFL Draft, starting with Cam Ward going No. 1 overall to Tennessee, Travis Hunter second to Cleveland and Abdul Carter third to the Giants.
- JP AcostaPro Bowl and All-Pro Calls · Joe ThuneyHit · 100JP picked the Eagles to beat the 49ers in a low-scoring game and the Jaguars to beat the Bills, called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the league, and named his own first-team All-Pro roster.
- Matt ZenitzTrade and Signing Calls · Marcus DavenportHit · 100Reported that Chicago is expected to sign free-agent pass-rusher Marcus Davenport, who visited the team.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
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- John BreechDepth Chart Calls · Jameis WinstonHit · 100Breech picked the Eagles to beat the Bears 23-16 on Monday night, and expected Jameis Winston to start at quarterback for the Giants in Week 4 against Arizona while newly acquired J.J. McCarthy gets up to speed.
- Chris RolingDepth Chart Calls · Drew LockMiss · 0Roling expects Sam Darnold's hip injury to keep him out, meaning Drew Lock will be Seattle's quarterback when the Chargers visit in Week 4.
- Christian BooherDepth Chart Calls · Blake MillerMiss · 0Booher lays out the Lions' projected depth chart for their Week 4 game at Carolina, naming starters, backups and reserves at every position, and suggests safety Bishop Fitzgerald could make his debut.
- Carter BahnsDepth Chart Calls · Shedeur SandersMiss · 0Bahns calls it reality that Shedeur Sanders will take over as Cleveland's starting quarterback by Week 4, with Deshaun Watson set to fail.
- Carter BahnsDepth Chart Calls · Shedeur SandersMiss · 0A CBS Sports preseason overreaction column argues Shedeur Sanders will take over as Cleveland's starting quarterback by Week 4, that Ja'Kobi Lane has a real path to a No. 2 receiver role as a rookie, and that Kenneth Walker III is a legitimate lead back atop the Chiefs' depth chart.