Jared Dubin· Oct 5, 2026
Dubin picked the Saints to beat the Falcons 28-20 on Monday night.
“Jared Dubin's pick: Saints 28-20 over Falcons”
published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →
One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 19.1 out of 100, against 1.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The game in this take
- Falcons at Saints 32 calls
1 checkable claim in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsNew Orleans SaintsOct 5, 2026
New Orleans Saints 28 — Falcons 20
“Jared Dubin's pick: Saints 28-20 over Falcons”
Miss · 19Scored 19.05a naive guess scored 1.56+32 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 45-24
- skill:
- 32
- they picked:
- NO
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 19.05
- baseline:
- 1.56
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 21
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- naive home margin:
- 0.66
- predicted margin:
- 8
What others said about the same people
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 7Dajani picked the Saints to edge the Falcons 23-20.
- Jerry JonesScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 10Expects a shootout decided on the last possession, with the Saints beating the Falcons 31-27.
- Grant GordonGame Outcome Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Predicts Tyler Shough throws for 400 yards and the Saints beat the Falcons on Monday night, with a blocked punt recovered for a touchdown.
- Bobby KownackGame Outcome Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Predicts the Saints beat the Falcons on Monday night, sealing it with a blocked punt returned for a touchdown in the game's final minutes.
- Dan ParrScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 7Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, taking the 49ers to move to 4-0 over Denver, the Saints at home on Monday night and the Steelers in Cleveland.
- Bobby KownackScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 5Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including upsets by the Jets in Chicago and the Buccaneers over the Packers, plus the Jaguars at Cincinnati.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- John BreechScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsClose · 57Breech picked the Falcons to beat the Saints 26-23 on Monday night, and said if Lamar Jackson misses time, Tyler Huntley would start for Baltimore.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsClose · 57Prisco picked the Falcons to outscore the Saints 33-30.
- Tyler SullivanScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsClose · 55Sullivan picked the Falcons to beat the Saints 26-24.
- Darius HayesScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsClose · 57Predicts the Falcons grind out a close road win, 20-17, behind the running game and late defensive stops.
- Gerald Thomas, IIIScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsClose · 60Predicts the Falcons win on the road in New Orleans by a score of 25-21.
- Scott KennedyScore Predictions · Atlanta FalconsClose · 67Believes the Falcons' play in the trenches decides the game and picks Atlanta 27-20.