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TJ Jefferson#66 of 87 NFL pundits · May 14, 2026

Jefferson had previously predicted the Cowboys will lose their Thanksgiving game to the Eagles in Dallas.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

0Miss · out of 100
Cowboys 38–21What happenedCowboys at Eagles
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
#66TJ Jefferson’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What TJ Jefferson said

TJ Jefferson says the Cowboys will lose.
Our reading: Philadelphia Eagles to beat Cowboys
The episode
Hour 1: NFL Thanksgiving Weekend Games Ranked, Ohtani’s Microscopic ERA, plus Steelers Insider Gerry Dulac
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidMay 14
  2. PlayedOct 26
  3. GradedOct 27

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles to beat Cowboys

    What happenedCowboys 38–21Cowboys at Eagles
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    38-21
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

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