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Matty LaneFeb 21, 2026

Lane predicts Arkansas running back Mike Washington will run in the 4.4s at the combine and rise up boards toward the RB2 spot, and names Oscar Delp as their sleeper to boost their stock at the combine, plus expects Grayson Holton to climb into Day 2 with a good showing.

Said on air, transcribed by us · KC Sports Network (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 2 waiting
35.4Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
39A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 3Settled2 still waiting
2Waitingnot graded yet

What Matty Lane said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
You're gonna see this near two hundred and thirty pound running back probably be in the four fours, maybe even lower four fours.
Matty Lane, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
KCSN Draft Show 2/20: What to Watch For at the 2026 NFL Scouting Combine with ESPN's Matt Miller
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 20
  2. GradedAug 13
  1. 1Mike Washington to be 2nd running back off the board“I think you're gonna see him start to really creep up and maybe close the gap to Jadarian Price for, like, that running back two spot, for some teams”
  2. 2Mike Washington to post probably be in the four fours, maybe even lower four fours at the combine“You're gonna see this near two hundred and thirty pound running back probably be in the four fours, maybe even lower four fours.”
  3. 3Gracen Halton to be picked “further into day two”“If he goes out there and puts out a good performance ... he could start to see his name kinda move up further into day two”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Mike Washington to be 2nd running back off the board1Position Order Calls—35.3639.03−3.68
Mike Washington to post probably be in the four fours, maybe even lower four fours at the combine2Combine Measurements————
Gracen Halton to be picked “further into day two”3Mock Draft Picks————
3 calls · 1 miss · 2 waiting35.439

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 combine measurement, 1 mock draft pick and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 35.4 out of 100, against 39 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

positional finish
2They said
5What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Position Order CallsMike Washington

    Mike Washington to be 2nd running back off the board

    VerdictMiss
    35.36Miss · naive 39.03
    35.36this call39.03a naive guess−3.67worse than naive1difficulty−3.68skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 13 at random averages 39.03
    skill:
    −3.68
    player:
    Mike Washington
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    35.36
    baseline:
    39.03
    position:
    running back
    class size:
    13
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    5
    predicted order:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Combine MeasurementsMike Washington

    Mike Washington to post probably be in the four fours, maybe even lower four fours at the combine

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Mock Draft PicksGracen Halton

    Gracen Halton to be picked “further into day two”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More combine measurements

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.