Matthew CollerAug 25, 2026

Coller argues J.J. McCarthy's development is far behind schedule and that they will likely end up needing a fresh start with another team rather than developing into the Vikings' answer at quarterback.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

100Hit · out of 100

Trade and Signing CallsThe callsettled

0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

100This callout of 100

+200Skillafter difficulty

What Matthew Coller said

As far as what that says for the Vikings, it probably means that eventually he will need a second chance somewhere else.

Our reading: J.J. McCarthy to move to Minnesota Vikings

Where it was published: Sports Illustrated
The piece: Vikings Staring at Unmistakable J.J. McCarthy Reality Now
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidAug 25
GradedSep 29

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Trade and Signing Calls J.J. McCarthy Minnesota Vikings
J.J. McCarthy to move to Minnesota Vikings
VerdictHit
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
player:
J.J. McCarthy
season:
2026
claimed:
he leaves
was with:
MIN
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
reported:
traded → NYG (from MIN)
settled by:
a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
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Who this take is about

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Others on the same people

Jason Harmon · Roster Spot Calls · Max Brosmer · Miss 0
Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
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Traina expects defensive tackle to be a top need for the Giants in next year's draft, and suggests the Giants could trade J.J. McCarthy next offseason — or keep both them and Jaxson Dart if the return isn't good enough. They also expect Dart to make a full recovery.
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Mike Fanelli · Trade and Signing Calls · Keenan Allen · Hit 100
Fanelli suggested Keenan Allen may be dealt away from Indianapolis, with Week 9 potentially their final appearance for the Colts.
Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
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