Greg JenningsJan 2, 2026
Jennings' upset alert is the Saints winning in Atlanta; they also pick Tampa Bay over Carolina, Seattle over San Francisco and Baltimore over Pittsburgh.
Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original
What Greg Jennings said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromSo even though Atlanta is hosting the Saints, the Saints gonna come marching in.
- Where it was said
- First Things First (podcast)
- The episode
- Ravens vs. Steelers preview, Miami beats Ohio Sate, Panthers vs. Bucs, Upset Alert & Nick’s Picks
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidJan 2
- GradedAug 17
- 1New Orleans Saints to beat Atlanta Falcons“So even though Atlanta is hosting the Saints, the Saints gonna come marching in. They gonna get it done.”
- 2Baltimore Ravens to beat Steelers“Going with the Baltimore Ravens. There we go.”
- 3Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Panthers“I'm going with the Bucks... I know he's playing through injury, but I think he'll have enough to get it done.”
- 4Seattle Seahawks to beat San Francisco forty niners“Well, I got I'm with Danny. I got the Seahawks.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Saints to beat Atlanta Falcons1 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 100 | −106 | |
| Baltimore Ravens to beat Steelers2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 100 | −106 | |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Panthers3 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Seattle Seahawks to beat San Francisco forty niners4 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +106 | |
| 4 calls · 2 hits · 2 misses · all settled | 50 | 75 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive4 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksNew Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints to beat Atlanta Falcons
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.06difficulty=−106skillClosing line (Jan 4): Falcons by 4.5 · underdog pick, Saints about 1 in 3 (36%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- ATL
- score:
- 17-19
- skill:
- −106
- they picked:
- NO
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- ATL
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
2Game Outcome PicksBaltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens to beat Steelers
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.06difficulty=−106skillClosing line (Jan 4): Ravens by 4.5 · favorite pick, Ravens about 2 in 3 (66%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 24-26
- skill:
- −106
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
3Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Panthers
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.06difficulty=0skillClosing line (Jan 3): Buccaneers by 3 · favorite pick, Buccaneers 58%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- TB
- score:
- 14-16
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
4Game Outcome PicksSeattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to beat San Francisco forty niners
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.06difficulty=+106skillClosing line (Jan 3): Seahawks by 2.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 57%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- SEA
- score:
- 13-3
- skill:
- 106
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- SF
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
50naive 75
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Brandon Carney · Trade and Signing Calls · Mike Evans · Miss 0
Carney predicts Geno Smith signs with the Vikings and starts for them, that at least four of the fringe veteran quarterbacks (Tua, Kyler, Cousins, Fields, Geno) will be starters next season, and that Mike Evans stays with Tampa Bay. They also rank their top fantasy wide receivers and comments on running back landing spots and trade values.Dalton Feely · Trade and Signing Calls · Chris Godwin Jr. · Hit 100
Feenie predicted Chris Godwin stays in Tampa Bay, Josh Sweat reunites with Jonathan Gannon in Arizona, Ronnie Stanley signs with New England, Jevon Holland lands in Indianapolis, Khalil Mack joins Washington, Asante Samuel Jr. goes to San Francisco, Najee Harris to the Raiders and Bobby Wagner to Dallas.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.Tyler Sullivan · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.Dave Richard · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.