Skip to main content

Adam RayFeb 7, 2025

Comedian Adam Ray leaned toward the Chiefs winning Super Bowl LIX, saying they don't see how you bet against Mahomes despite Saquon Barkley's big season.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

0Miss · out of 100
Game Outcome PicksThe callsettled
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
−100Skillafter difficulty

What Adam Ray said

I don't see how you can bet against Mahomes.
Our reading: Kansas City Chiefs to beat Eagles
The episode
Super Bowl Predictions
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 7, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksKansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs to beat Eagles

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1difficulty−100skill

    Closing line (Feb 9): Chiefs by 1.5 · a toss-up, Chiefs 52%, Eagles 48%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    22-40
    skill:
    −100
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.