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Chris Broussard#77 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 10, 2026

Broussard picked mostly favorites — Eagles 28-20 over San Francisco, Green Bay, the Rams and Houston — but talked themselves into one upset, the Chargers over the Patriots.

Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 5calls landed2 hits · 1 close call · 2 misses · all settled
48.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls
49.1A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
5 of 5Settlednone still waiting
#77Chris Broussard’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Broussard said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So I I think I see Philly winning something like twenty eight twenty.
Chris Broussard, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Miami beats Ole Miss, Wild Card Weekend preview, Most To Gain & Lose, Upset Alert & NIck’s Picks
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidJan 9
  2. GradedAug 13–17
  1. 1Los Angeles Rams to beat Panthers“I got the Rams. I'm sorry, coach.”
  2. 2Green Bay Packers to beat Chicago“Look. I got Green Bay over Chicago. I'm sticking with the Packers.”
  3. 3Houston Texans to beat Steelers“I got Philly. I got Houston.”
  4. 4Los Angeles Chargers to beat Patriots“Because I like to go big game, honey, I'm a take the chargers... I'm going with the charges.”
  5. 5Philadelphia Eagles 28 — San Francisco 20“So I I think I see Philly winning something like twenty eight twenty.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Los Angeles Rams to beat Panthers1Game Outcome Picks—1000+100
Green Bay Packers to beat Chicago2Game Outcome Picks—0100−100
Houston Texans to beat Steelers3Game Outcome Picks—1000+100
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Patriots4Game Outcome Picks—0100−100
Philadelphia Eagles 28 — San Francisco 205Score Predictions—40.4845.3−4.83
5 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · 2 misses · all settled48.149.1

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

5 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 48.1 out of 100, against 49.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Panthers

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill

    Closing line (Jan 10): Rams by 10 · favorite pick, Rams about 4 in 5 (81%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    34-31
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CAR
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay Packers

    Green Bay Packers to beat Chicago

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1difficulty−100skill

    Closing line (Jan 10): Packers by 2.5 · favorite pick, Packers 55%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    27-31
    skill:
    −100
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Game Outcome PicksHouston Texans

    Houston Texans to beat Steelers

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill

    Closing line (Jan 12): Texans by 3 · favorite pick, Texans 58%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    HOU
    score:
    30-6
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    PIT
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Chargers

    Los Angeles Chargers to beat Patriots

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1difficulty−100skill

    Closing line (Jan 11): Patriots by 3.5 · underdog pick, Chargers 36%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    3-16
    skill:
    −100
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Score PredictionsPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles 28 — San Francisco 20

    VerdictClose
    40.48Close · naive 45.3
    40.48this call45.3a naive guess−4.82worse than naive1difficulty−4.83skill

    Closing line (Jan 11): Eagles by 6, total 44.5 · this 28–20 calls a bigger Eagles win (by 8) and more points (48).

    How this was scored
    score:
    23-19
    skill:
    −4.83
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    40.48
    baseline:
    45.3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    8
    Think this is wrong?
  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once

    48.1naive 49.1

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