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Eric Mangini· Oct 9, 2026

Mangini took the Titans to upset the Texans, and in the chips segment backed the Chargers to upset Denver, the Patriots over the Raiders, and the Rams over the Bills.

“I'm going with the Tennessee titans.”

said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 25 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsOct 9, 2026

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Bills

    “I'm going two on the Rams... the Rams are better in terms of pass defense than Buffalo is and Stafford. It's gonna be a little bit of a get right game for him.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    37-34
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14

    Closing line (Oct 12): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams 62%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles ChargersOct 9, 2026

    Los Angeles Chargers to beat Broncos

    “I'm going with one chip on the charger... They're gonna overlook the Chargers... and the Chargers will get a surprise upset win.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    23-17
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14

    Closing line (Oct 11): Broncos by 3.5 · underdog pick, Chargers 37%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsOct 9, 2026

    New England Patriots to beat Raiders

    “it is the twenty fifth anniversary of that first Super Bowl run, which came with a big, big win over the Raiders. And I think the football gods will be shining on New England”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    17-45
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14

    Closing line (Oct 11): Patriots by 3.5 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksTennessee TitansOct 9, 2026

    Tennessee Titans to beat Houston

    “I am going with the Tennessee titans... In Tennessee, there's actually a feeling of, like, we're making some progress here.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    HOU
    score:
    26-3
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    TEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TEN
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14

    Closing line (Oct 11): Texans by 6.5 · underdog pick, Titans about 1 in 4 (27%).

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What others said about the same people

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