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Brandon Carney· Jan 13, 2026

Carney sticks with the Rams as his Super Bowl winner, picks the Patriots, Broncos, Seahawks and Rams in the divisional round, and makes a series of head coaching landing-spot predictions plus fantasy takes on Colston Loveland.

“I'm still very much standing by my Rams Super Bowl prediction.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast) · read the original →

10 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks, 2 trade and signing calls, 1 conference champion, 1 depth chart call, 1 positional finishe and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

8 of 10 have settled so far, averaging 74 out of 100, against 58.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

10 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl

    “I'm gonna go with the Rams though and, you know, continue on their road to the Super Bowl”

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+50 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    50
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE,SEA
    difficulty:
    1
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    yes

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks to beat 49ers

    “So we will see how that one plays out, but I certainly have Seattle as well.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    6-41
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl

    “Yeah. I think I I'm still very much standing by my Rams Super Bowl prediction.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • New England Patriots to beat Texans

    “Texans at Patriots... Who you got? I'm taking the patriots.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    16-28
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jake Tonges to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Honestly, Jake Tarras would probably be a guy being drafted as a fringe tight end one, honestly, just with the system.”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    SF
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jake Tonges
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    TE
    naive slot:
    3
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    receptions
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Rams to beat Bears

    “I'll I'm going with the Rams because they are my Super Bowl pick.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    20-17
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Denver Broncos to beat Bills

    “I am gonna stick with the Broncos here. I'm gonna go with Denver at home.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    30-33
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Colston Loveland to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points

    “Outside of Brock Bowers and Trey McBride, I don't know if there's anyone else I'm putting above Colson Loveland for next season... you wanna rank him as t three next year? Be my guest.”

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 75-25 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    -25
    player:
    Colston Loveland
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    12
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    75
    position:
    TE
    ranked by:
    fantasy points
    difficulty:
    1
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — the startable tier at TE
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    12
    actual finish:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    predicted finish:
    3

    Think this is wrong?

  • Rico Dowdle to move to Carolina Panthers

    “So, yeah. He's probably out of Carolina.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • A.J. Brown to move to Philadelphia Eagles

    “I think there is a strong chance that AJ Brown has played his last snap as a Philadelphia Eagle”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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