Skip to main content

Brady Quinn#85 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 26, 2025

Quinn picked the Texans to win outright at the Chargers, Seattle to cover and win at Carolina, Buffalo over Philadelphia, and San Francisco over Chicago, while also asserting Matt Stafford would clearly win MVP.

Said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 3calls landed3 hits · all settled
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
33.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#85Brady Quinn’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Brady Quinn said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
The text has been will win this one out right
Brady Quinn, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 3: Xmas Talk, Picks Against The Spread
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidDec 26, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026
  1. 1Matthew Stafford to win MVP“I feel like the LA Rams right now, like and like Matt Stafford, I'm clearly gonna win the MVP. There's no debate to be had.”
  2. 2San Francisco 49ers to beat Chicago“I don't see them beating this forty nine ers team... So I'm gonna lay the three points here in San fran”
  3. 3Houston Texans to beat Chargers“I'm gonna go to Texans here. I think that begged up Chargers offensive line. They're gonna have some issues with that front for Houston... The text has been will win this one out right”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Matthew Stafford to win MVP1Award PicksMatthew Stafford won1000+111
San Francisco 49ers to beat Chicago2Game Outcome Picks—1001000
Houston Texans to beat Chargers3Game Outcome Picks—1000+111
3 calls · 3 hits · all settled10033.3

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks and 1 award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Award PicksMatthew Stafford

    Matthew Stafford to win MVP

    What happenedMatthew Stafford won
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.11difficulty+111skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    111
    player:
    Matthew Stafford
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.11
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    2
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ers

    San Francisco 49ers to beat Chicago

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.11difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Dec 28): 49ers by 3.5 · favorite pick, 49ers about 2 in 3 (64%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    38-42
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    1.11
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    2
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Game Outcome PicksHouston Texans

    Houston Texans to beat Chargers

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.11difficulty+111skill

    Closing line (Dec 27): Chargers by 1.5 · a toss-up, Texans 48%, Chargers 52%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    HOU
    score:
    20-16
    skill:
    111
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    1.11
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    2
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 33.3

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.