Chris Broussard#77 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 24, 2026

Broussard picked the Patriots to beat the Broncos, saying Jarrett Stidham's rust makes it too much to ask, and picked the Seahawks to beat the Rams, calling Seattle the better overall team.

Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled

100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 2Settlednone still waiting

#77Chris Broussard’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Broussard said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

No upsets. Patriots win. Seahawks win.

Chris Broussard, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: First Things First (podcast)
The episode: Patriots vs. Broncos, Rams vs. Seahawks, Most to Gain & Lose, Upset Alert and Nick’s Picks
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidJan 23
GradedAug 13–17

1Seattle Seahawks to beat Rams“But I I think Seattle's gonna win the game. And, Nick, I I think they're the better overall team.”
2New England Patriots to beat Denver Broncos“But I just think it's it's a lot to ask of Jarrett Stidham to go in there ... And so I'm going with New England in this one.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Seattle Seahawks to beat Rams¹	Game Outcome Picks	—	100	100	0
New England Patriots to beat Denver Broncos²	Game Outcome Picks	—	100	0	+100
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled			100	50

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Game Outcome Picks Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to beat Rams
VerdictHit
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
Closing line (Jan 25): Seahawks by 2.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 56%.
How this was scored
won:
SEA
score:
27-31
skill:
0
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
SEA
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
2Game Outcome Picks New England Patriots
New England Patriots to beat Denver Broncos
VerdictHit
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill
Closing line (Jan 25): Patriots by 3.5 · favorite pick, Patriots about 2 in 3 (64%).
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
10-7
skill:
100
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
DEN
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 50