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JP Acosta#40 of 87 NFL pundits · May 19, 2025

Acosta made the odd-numbered picks in the head-coach draft, naming Andy Reid the best coach in the NFL, Dan Campbell third, Kyle Shanahan fifth, and continuing down to Brian Daboll at 25.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

52Close · out of 100
Head Coach RankingsThe callsettled
24.13A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
51.92This callout of 100
#40JP Acosta’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What JP Acosta said

I think Andy Reid is still the best coach in the NFL.
JP Acosta’s words, quoted for attribution
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
Ranking (Almost) Every NFL Head Coach
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidMay 19, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 51.9 out of 100, against 24.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Head Coach Rankings

    “my number one pick is Andy Reid still... my number three is Dan Campbell... I am going to choose Kyle Shanahan... I'm going Sean Payton... I'm gonna go with Demico Ryans... Give me Jim Harbaugh... I'm a big believer in Pete Carroll... I'm going to take Nick Sirianni here... I'm gonna go Mike McDaniel... I'm gonna go with Mike McDonald... I'm going to pick Jonathan Gannon here... I'm gonna go with Dave Canalis here... I'm gonna go with Brian day Ball here”

    VerdictClose
    51.92Close · naive 24.13
    51.92this call24.13a naive guess27.79better than naive2difficulty+55.59skill
    How this was scored
    best:
    Mike Vrabel
    skill:
    55.59
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    51.92
    baseline:
    24.13
    settled by:
    wins above the prior-season baseline
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    coaches ranked:
    13
    weeks left when called:
    18
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More head coach rankings

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.