Ollie ConnollyDec 23, 2025
Connolly ranked their Coach of the Year top five with Kyle Shanahan first, Mike Vrabel second, Mike McDonald third, Liam Cohen fourth and Ben Johnson fifth, naming Shanahan their winner. They also predicted the Broncos would blow out the Chiefs on Christmas night.
Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original
What Ollie Connolly said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromSo I have Mike vrabel to, I have Kyle shana on one.
- Where it was said
- Around the NFL (podcast)
- The episode
- Coach of the Year Rankings and Christmas Games Preview
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidDec 23, 2025
- GradedAug 5–17, 2026
- 1Denver Broncos to beat Chiefs“I think that they will absolutely roast them, But that is one thing football wise that'll be watching.”
- 2Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year“Shanna ann is won for me?”
- 3Head Coach Rankings“My numb of five is Ben Johnson with the Bess... Number four for me is Liam Cohen with the Jags... I have Mike McDonald third... So I have Mike vrabel to, I have Kyle shana on one.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos to beat Chiefs1 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +111 | |
| Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year2 | Coach Award Picks | Mike Vrabel won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| “My numb of five is Ben Johnson with the Bess... Number four for…”3 | Head Coach Rankings | — | 75 | 0 | +83.25 | |
| 3 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled | 58.3 | 0 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive3 checkable claims — 1 coach award pick, 1 game outcome pick and 1 head coach ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
All 3 have settled, averaging 58.3 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksDenver Broncos
Denver Broncos to beat Chiefs
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.11difficulty=+111skillClosing line (Dec 25): Broncos by 13.5 · favorite pick, Broncos about 7 in 8 (88%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 20-13
- skill:
- 111
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year
What happenedMike Vrabel woncalled Kyle Shanahan0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.11difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- coach_of_the_year
- coach:
- Kyle Shanahan
- naive:
- the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Mike Vrabel
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
“My numb of five is Ben Johnson with the Bess... Number four for me is Liam Cohen with the Jags... I have Mike McDonald third... So I have Mike vrabel to, I have Kyle shana on one.”
VerdictClose75Close · naive 075this call−0a naive guess=75better than naive×1.11difficulty=+83.25skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- best:
- Mike Vrabel
- skill:
- 83.25
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 0
- settled by:
- wins above the prior-season baseline
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- coaches ranked:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
58.3naive 0
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.Chad Jensen · Roster Spot Calls · Jordan Turner · Miss 0
Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot.Zack Kelberman · Game Outcome Picks · Denver Broncos · Hit 100
Kelberman predicts the Broncos will comfortably beat the Panthers in Week 9, with Denver's offensive line handling Carolina's weak pass rush.Connor Rogers · Game Outcome Picks · Denver Broncos · Hit 100
Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night.
More coach award picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Matt Hasselbeck · Coach Award Picks · Miss 0
Hasselbeck agreed on the Bills and Ravens as AFC division winners, picked the Colts (with Daniel Jones) to win the AFC South, the Broncos to win the AFC West, the Seahawks to win the NFC West, and tabbed Brian Flores for a Coach of the Year-type honor. They also said the Patriots would make a big jump and potentially reach the playoffs, and named Minnesota, Las Vegas, New England and Chicago as offseason winners.Richard Sherman · Coach Award Picks · Hit 100
Sherman picked the Eagles, Vikings, Ravens and Bills in their wild-card games, named Lamar Jackson MVP, Patrick Surtain DPOY, Kevin O'Connell Coach of the Year, put Jared Verse in the top three of Defensive Rookie of the Year voting, and gave a Week 18 power ranking with Kansas City first.Pat Gustavson · Coach Award Picks · Miss 0
Gustafson picked the Bears, Eagles, Rams, Patriots, Jaguars and Texans in the wild card round, the Rams and Bears in the NFC, the Broncos and Patriots in the AFC, and the Patriots to beat the Bears in the Super Bowl. Their awards slate included Stafford for MVP, Puka for OPOY and Liam Cohen for Coach of the Year.Brandon Carney · Coach Award Picks · Hit 100
Carney made a full playoff bracket, picking the Bears, Niners, Rams, Patriots, Jaguars and Texans in the wild card round, then Seahawks and Rams in the NFC divisional, Broncos and Patriots in the AFC, with the Rams beating the Patriots in the Super Bowl. They also gave award picks including Stafford for MVP and Vrabel for Coach of the Year.Rich Eisen · Coach Award Picks · Hit 100
Eisen gave their Week 13 power rankings, with the Rams first, Patriots second and the Cowboys entering at No. 10, and also named New England and Philadelphia as the first teams to clinch playoff spots, picked Seattle to beat Minnesota, and tabbed Drake Maye as an MVP finalist and Mike Vrabel as Coach of the Year.