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Peter DeweyOct 15, 2026

Picks the Seahawks to beat the Broncos in Week 6.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

0Miss · out of 100
Broncos 17–14What happenedSeahawks at Broncos
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
−172Skillafter difficulty

What Peter Dewey said

Peter Dewey: Seahawks
Our reading: Seattle Seahawks to beat Broncos
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Seahawks vs. Broncos Week 6 Expert Pick Roundup: Can Seattle Bounce Back?
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 15
  2. PlayedOct 15
  3. GradedOct 16

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to beat Broncos

    What happenedBroncos 17–14Seahawks at Broncos
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.72difficulty−172skill

    Closing line (Oct 15): Seahawks by 2.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 58%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    14-17
    skill:
    −172
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?

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