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Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 20, 2025

The unnamed host (Speaker 1) laid out their five weekend picks and side opinions: Green Bay routs Cleveland, Tennessee wins outright over Indianapolis for its first win, Atlanta beats Carolina, the Chargers beat Denver, and the Chiefs beat the Giants; they also reaffirmed their preseason pick of New England making the playoffs.

Said on air or in an interview · What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 4calls landed3 hits · 1 miss · all settled
75Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
#49Nick Wright’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nick Wright said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think Green Bay is gonna annihilate the Browns.
Nick Wright, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
What’s Wright - NFL Week 3 Predictions: Nick Wright on Lions-Ravens, Broncos-Chargers, Packers-Browns & more!
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidSep 20, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–17, 2026
  1. 1Los Angeles Chargers to beat Denver“Talking about bow Knicks, I think the Chargers win this game, maybe a good game, maybe just by a field goal”
  2. 2Kansas City Chiefs to beat Giants“And I know you all expected me to have the Chiefs minus six at the Giants because I'm so confident they're going to win. I don't know if it's gonna be pretty. I just believe they're gonna win.”
  3. 3Green Bay Packers to beat Cleveland“Yeah, so I think Green Bay is gonna annihilate the Browns. I do not mind laying more than a touchdown on the road.”
  4. 4New England Patriots to make the playoffs“I hope you're right. I picked New England make the playoffs.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Denver1Game Outcome Picks—1001000
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Giants2Game Outcome Picks—1000+189
Green Bay Packers to beat Cleveland3Game Outcome Picks—0100−189
New England Patriots to make the playoffs4Playoff PicksMade the playoffs1000+189
4 calls · 3 hits · 1 miss · all settled7550

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 75 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Chargers

    Los Angeles Chargers to beat Denver

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.89difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 21): Chargers by 2.5 · favorite pick, Chargers 58%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    LAC
    score:
    20-23
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksKansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs to beat Giants

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.89difficulty+189skill

    Closing line (Sep 21): Chiefs by 6 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 3 in 4 (73%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    22-9
    skill:
    189
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NYG
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay Packers

    Green Bay Packers to beat Cleveland

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.89difficulty−189skill

    Closing line (Sep 21): Packers by 8.5 · favorite pick, Packers about 4 in 5 (79%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    CLE
    score:
    10-13
    skill:
    −189
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CLE
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Playoff PicksNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots to make the playoffs

    What happenedMade the playoffs
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.89difficulty+189skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    NE
    skill:
    189
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    75naive 50

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