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Jerry Markarian· Oct 7, 2026

Markarian expects the Bears to keep winning without Caleb Williams, saying they should survive their next two games (against Green Bay and Atlanta) the way they have the past two weeks, and that they only need one or two more wins before Williams returns.

“They've survived without Williams in the lineup over the past two weeks, and they should be able to do the same over the next two.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsOct 7, 2026

    Chicago Bears to beat Green Bay

    “They'll hope to get their third straight win with a backup QB on Sunday... They've survived without Williams in the lineup over the past two weeks, and they should be able to do the same over the next two.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-178 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    7-31
    skill:
    −178
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    GB
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14

    Closing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bears 53%, Packers 47%.

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  • Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsOct 7, 2026

    Chicago Bears to beat Falcons

    “The Falcons suddenly look like a wagon after two straight blowout road victories... but the Bears have been similarly impressive. They've survived without Williams in the lineup over the past two weeks, and they should be able to do the same over the next two.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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