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Bill Huber· Oct 11, 2026

Huber picks the Bears to beat the Packers in Green Bay, predicting a close game in which Chicago pulls away late for a 31-21 win.

“Prediction: Bears 31, Packers 21.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 16.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Chicago Bears 31 — Packers 21

    “Prediction: Bears 31, Packers 21.”

    Miss · 17Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 50-59.33 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    7-31
    skill:
    −59.33
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    16.67
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    24
    weeks left when called:
    14
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    10

    Closing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 31–21 calls a bigger Bears win (by 10) and more points (52).

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