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Jacob Westendorf· Oct 11, 2026

Westendorf also picks Chicago, saying the mistake-prone Packers will lose a third straight game to the Bears, 34-17.

“Prediction: Bears 34, Packers 17.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 33.3 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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  • Chicago Bears 34 — Packers 17

    “So, the mistake-ridden Packers will lose their third consecutive game against Chicago for the first time since the 2005-06 seasons. Prediction: Bears 34, Packers 17.”

    Miss · 33Scored 33.33a naive guess scored 50-29.67 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    7-31
    skill:
    −29.67
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    33.33
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    24
    weeks left when called:
    14
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    17

    Closing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 34–17 calls a bigger Bears win (by 17) and more points (51).

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