Gary Baugher Jr.· Oct 11, 2026
Predicts a Bears win by at least two scores, 27-13.
“Bears win by at least two scores in a fashion similar to the Jets game. Bears 27, Packers 13.”
published in writing · read the original →
One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 26.2 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The game in this take
- Bears at Packers 49 calls
1 checkable claim in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Score PredictionsChicago BearsOct 11, 2026
Chicago Bears 27 — Packers 13
“Bears win by at least two scores ... Bears 27, Packers 13.”
Miss · 26Scored 26.19a naive guess scored 50-42.38 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 7-31
- skill:
- −42.38
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 26.19
- baseline:
- 50
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 24
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.88
- predicted margin:
- 14
Closing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 27–13 calls a bigger Bears win (by 14) and fewer points (40).
What others said about the same people
- Bill HuberScore Predictions · Chicago BearsMiss · 17Huber picks the Bears to beat the Packers in Green Bay, predicting a close game in which Chicago pulls away late for a 31-21 win.
- Jacob WestendorfScore Predictions · Chicago BearsMiss · 33Westendorf also picks Chicago, saying the mistake-prone Packers will lose a third straight game to the Bears, 34-17.
- Pete MartuneacScore Predictions · Chicago BearsMiss · 36Martuneac predicts the Bears dominate the Packers in Week 5, winning 31-13, with Tyson Bagent starting in place of a sidelined Caleb Williams and D'Andre Swift rushing for 120 yards.
- TJ StarmanScore Predictions · Chicago BearsMiss · 2Sees the Bears taking a fairly close game, 24-20.
- Lester A. Wiltfong Jr.Score Predictions · Chicago BearsMiss · 19Predicts the Bears beat the Packers 28-17 behind their running game.
- Donald GoochScore Predictions · Chicago BearsMiss · 31Predicts a 42-10 Bears rout with two rushing touchdowns and over 100 rushing yards for D'Andre Swift, a short-yardage score and 50 rushing yards for Roschon Johnson, just over 200 passing yards and a touchdown to Colston Loveland from Tyson Bagent, two sacks for Sweat plus one each for Booker and Dayo, and an interception for Muhammed.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 48Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Bills in the Week 5 Monday night game, projecting a 28-24 final score as Los Angeles' Nacua-Adams-Williams trio proves too much for Buffalo's defense.
- Ty SchmitScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 48Predicted a 38-34 Rams win over the Bills on Monday night, and said Micah Parsons will be back on the field for the Packers within the next week or two.
- Tyler SullivanScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 48Sullivan picked the Rams to beat the Bills 28-24 on Monday night.
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Dajani picked the Bills to beat the Rams 30-27 on Monday night.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 45Prisco picked the Rams to edge the Bills 34-33 on Monday night.
- John BreechScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 40Breech picked the Rams to beat the Bills 38-31 on Monday night, and after San Francisco's road win in Seattle suggested the NFC West would run through the 49ers.