Skip to main content

Jordan FooteOct 18, 2026

Foote picked the rested Chiefs to beat the banged-up Chargers in a close, one-score game at Arrowhead, moving Kansas City to 5-0.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
Chiefs 22–6What happenedChargers at Chiefs
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
0Skillafter difficulty

What Jordan Foote said

I'm calling for an ugly one-score game, but the hosts should be able to overcome their own injuries and rise to 5-0 on the still-young season.
Our reading: Kansas City Chiefs to beat Los Angeles Chargers
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Chiefs vs. Chargers: NFL Week 6 Preview, Score Predictions
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 18
  2. PlayedOct 18
  3. GradedOct 19

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksKansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs to beat Los Angeles Chargers

    What happenedChiefs 22–6Chargers at Chiefs
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.72difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Oct 18): Chiefs by 7.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 4 in 5 (79%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    6-22
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13
    Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.