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Zachary PerelesAug 10, 2026

A CBS Sports piece names five quiet-offseason teams that could outperform expectations in the coming season — the Seahawks, Packers, Broncos, Jaguars and Saints — arguing Seattle remains a legitimate contender, Denver is a lock for the playoffs, and Green Bay's Matthew Golden is a breakout candidate.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

Waiting7 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 7Settled7 still waiting
7Waitingnot graded yet

What Zachary Pereles said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Here are five teams that haven't made a ton of noise this offseason but could make plenty when the results actually matter.
Zachary Pereles, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Five NFL teams we're not talking about enough: Seahawks under the radar again? Packers take next step?
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Devon Witherspoon to finish top 5 at his position, by interceptions“Devon Witherspoon is a top-five cornerback”
  2. 2New Orleans Saints to beat expectations“Here's one team well outside the projected playoff picture to be bullish on.”
  3. 3Jacksonville Jaguars to beat expectations“4. Jaguars ... But what about the internal development? Trevor Lawrence caught fire down the stretch of last season”
  4. 4Green Bay Packers to beat expectations“2. Packers ... perhaps this is actually the year the offense becomes one of the league's best.”
  5. 5Denver Broncos to make the playoffs“Denver should be a shoo-in playoff team at worst.”
  6. 6Denver Broncos to beat expectations“3. Broncos ... The Broncos were likely a freak injury away from the Super Bowl.”
  7. 7Seattle Seahawks to beat expectations“1. Seahawks ... they're not getting much buzz. That's a mistake. Last year wasn't just some lucky run.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Devon Witherspoon to finish top 5 at his position, by interceptions1Positional Finishes————
New Orleans Saints to beat expectations2Surprise Team Calls————
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat expectations3Surprise Team Calls————
Green Bay Packers to beat expectations4Surprise Team Calls————
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs5Playoff Picks————
Denver Broncos to beat expectations6Surprise Team Calls————
Seattle Seahawks to beat expectations7Surprise Team Calls————
7 calls · 7 waiting——

How each call scored

7 checkable claims — 5 surprise team calls, 1 playoff pick and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against the record

positional finish
5They said
732025 finish

Their call against what actually happened last time. Not yet settled.

  1. 1Positional FinishesDevon WitherspoonSeattle Seahawks

    Devon Witherspoon to finish top 5 at his position, by interceptions

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Surprise Team CallsNew Orleans Saints

    New Orleans Saints to beat expectations

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Surprise Team CallsJacksonville Jaguars

    Jacksonville Jaguars to beat expectations

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Surprise Team CallsGreen Bay Packers

    Green Bay Packers to beat expectations

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. 5Playoff PicksDenver Broncos

    Denver Broncos to make the playoffs

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. 6Surprise Team CallsDenver Broncos

    Denver Broncos to beat expectations

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  7. 7Surprise Team CallsSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to beat expectations

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More surprise team calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.