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Logan LazarczykNov 12, 2026

Lazarczyk argues the Raiders can still contend for the AFC's final wild-card spot, naming the Bills, Broncos, Jaguars, Steelers, Chiefs and Bengals as locks for the top six seeds, calling Houston a sleeper, and predicting Las Vegas can beat the Chargers, Titans and Cardinals down the stretch.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

Waiting10 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3Games calledeveryone’s picks below
10Waitingnot graded yet

What Logan Lazarczyk said

That said, there's a chance the Raiders squeak in.
Logan Lazarczyk, the lead quote
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
2 Reasons Why Raiders Playoff Hopes Are Still Alive
The original
Read the original

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Playoff Picks0006
Surprise Team Calls0001
Game Outcome Picks0003
All00010

How each call scored

10 checkable claims — 6 playoff picks, 3 game outcome picks and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against the record

Makes the playoffsThey said
Made the playoffs2025

Their call against what actually happened last time. Not yet settled.

Playoff Picks6 waitingShow ▸
  1. Denver Broncos to make the playoffs

    “I would say the top six spots in the AFC playoff picture are solidified, with the Bills, Broncos, Jaguars, Steelers, Chiefs, and Bengals occupying those spots”

    Denver Broncos

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs

    “I would say the top six spots in the AFC playoff picture are solidified, with the Bills, Broncos, Jaguars, Steelers, Chiefs, and Bengals occupying those spots”

    Kansas City Chiefs

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs

    “I would say the top six spots in the AFC playoff picture are solidified, with the Bills, Broncos, Jaguars, Steelers, Chiefs, and Bengals occupying those spots”

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs

    “I would say the top six spots in the AFC playoff picture are solidified, with the Bills, Broncos, Jaguars, Steelers, Chiefs, and Bengals occupying those spots”

    Cincinnati Bengals

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs

    “I would say the top six spots in the AFC playoff picture are solidified, with the Bills, Broncos, Jaguars, Steelers, Chiefs, and Bengals occupying those spots”

    Buffalo Bills

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs

    “I would say the top six spots in the AFC playoff picture are solidified, with the Bills, Broncos, Jaguars, Steelers, Chiefs, and Bengals occupying those spots”

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Surprise Team Calls1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Houston Texans to beat expectations

    “The Houston Texans are a sleeper team to watch, despite being 3-5. Houston has a manageable schedule.”

    Houston Texans

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Game Outcome Picks3 waitingShow ▸
  1. Las Vegas Raiders to beat Cardinals

    “Los Angeles, Tennessee, and Arizona are all teams the Raiders should beat.”

    Las Vegas Raiders

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. Las Vegas Raiders to beat Titans

    “Los Angeles, Tennessee, and Arizona are all teams the Raiders should beat.”

    Las Vegas Raiders

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. Las Vegas Raiders to beat Chargers

    “Los Angeles, Tennessee, and Arizona are all teams the Raiders should beat.”

    Las Vegas Raiders

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More playoff picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.