Dan OrlovskyNov 13, 2026
Named Houston and Detroit as the underrated teams in each conference, said the Texans could reach 11-6 and the playoffs, and predicted CJ Stroud's next contract will start with a seven annually, with Caleb Williams getting even more afterward.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Pardon My Take (podcast)Hear the original
What Dan Orlovsky said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromCJ Stroud's next contract is going to start annually with a seven.
- Where it was said
- Pardon My Take (podcast)
- The episode
- NFL Week 10 Picks & Preview, Dan Orlovsky, Commanders Season Back On + Fyre Fest of The Week
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- 1Houston Texans to beat expectations“Give me a a team each conference. You're like, they're playing some really good football, and they're not getting enough love. Yeah. Houston and Detroit.”
- 2Detroit Lions to beat expectations“I I think Detroit's a sneaky team that could contend for the one seed.”
- 3Houston Texans to make the playoffs“I I would not be shocked if they can get to eleven and six and into the playoffs.”
- 4Houston Texans to finish with 11 wins“I I would not be shocked if they can get to eleven and six and into the playoffs.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Texans to beat expectations1 | Surprise Team Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Detroit Lions to beat expectations2 | Surprise Team Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Houston Texans to make the playoffs3 | Playoff Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| Houston Texans to finish with 11 wins4 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| 4 calls · 4 waiting | — | — | ||||
How each call scored
4 checkable claims — 2 surprise team calls, 1 playoff pick and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Houston Texans · 2026 season · wins21 calls from 14 pundits between 1 wins and 13 wins. Dan Orlovsky said 11 wins. the room's median is 10 wins. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
1Surprise Team CallsHouston Texans
Houston Texans to beat expectations
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
2Surprise Team CallsDetroit Lions
Detroit Lions to beat expectations
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Houston Texans to make the playoffs
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
4Season Win TotalsHouston Texans
Houston Texans to finish with 11 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Bobby Skinner · Trade and Signing Calls · Stefon Diggs · Miss 0
Skinner predicted Daniel Jones signs with and wins the starting job in Indianapolis, Milton Williams to New England, Lavonte David back to Tampa, Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams to the Giants, DJ Reid to Arizona, Hassan Reddick to Washington and Justin Fields staying in Pittsburgh, plus alternates they had listed.Christian Booher · Roster Spot Calls · Anthony Lucas · Miss 0
Booher previews the Lions' Week 9 trip to Miami, predicting Derrick Barnes takes over as the green-dot linebacker in Jack Campbell's absence, Juice Scruggs starts at center, and boldly forecasting Detroit's first defensive touchdown of the season on an Aidan Hutchinson strip-sack recovered and returned by Barnes.Chris Simms · Score Predictions · Houston Texans · Hit 81
Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said they wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game.Connor Rogers · Game Outcome Picks · Houston Texans · Hit 100
Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night.
More surprise team calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Bill Simmons · Surprise Team Calls · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Waiting
Simmons named the Houston Texans as the AFC's second-half surge team and, reluctantly, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the NFC's, arguing both clubs sitting at or below.500 will make a run down the stretch.Danny Kelly · Surprise Team Calls · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Waiting
Kelly argued the Buccaneers are the one NFC South club capable of a second-half surge, citing a soft remaining schedule and the league's top defensive EPA.Jordan Dajani · Surprise Team Calls · Pittsburgh Steelers · Waiting
Halfway through the season, Dajani sorts the playoff field into contenders and pretenders: they suggest Joe Burrow could win MVP this year, and while they dismiss Pittsburgh as a true Super Bowl threat, they expect the Steelers to be a playoff team and a possible sleeper.Chris Long · Surprise Team Calls · Minnesota Vikings · Waiting
Previewing NFL Week 5, Chris Long expects the Jaguars to beat the Eagles in London, picks the Browns, Steelers and Texans to win their games, names the Falcons as NFC South champions, lists their current top five teams, and calls the Vikings and Texans sleeping giants. They also flag Ja'Marr Chase and Dallas Goedert as returning, Jake Majors starting at center for Philadelphia, and Baltimore having to pay Cam Jurgens 50-plus.