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Rich Eisen· Feb 25, 2026

Eisen said he wouldn't be surprised if Arvell Reese went second overall to the Jets, and predicted Deshaun Watson will be the Browns' starting quarterback rather than Shedeur Sanders.

“And if he's the second overall pick, that wouldn't surprise me by any stretch of the imagination.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 87.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
2They said
5What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2

    “R. L. Reese, who could be potentially a New York Jet number two overall based on some mock drafts... And if he's the second overall pick, that wouldn't surprise me by any stretch of the imagination.”

    Hit · 88Scored 87.81a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Arvell Reese
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Deshaun Watson is starting ... Going to be the starting quarterback Yeah. For the Browns.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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