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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 25, 2026

Eisen said they wouldn't be surprised if Arvell Reese went second overall to the Jets, and predicted Deshaun Watson will be the Browns' starting quarterback rather than Shedeur Sanders.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 1 waiting
87.8Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
And if he's the second overall pick, that wouldn't surprise me by any stretch of the imagination.
Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 1: Live from the NFL Combine with Broncos HC Sean Payton & Miami DE Rueben Bain Jr.
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 25
  2. GradedOct 1
  1. 1Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2“R. L. Reese, who could be potentially a New York Jet number two overall based on some mock drafts... And if he's the second overall pick, that wouldn't surprise me by any stretch of the imagination.”
  2. 2Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart“Deshaun Watson is starting ... Going to be the starting quarterback Yeah. For the Browns.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 21Mock Draft PicksWent 587.8150—
Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart2Depth Chart Calls————
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting87.850

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 87.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
2They said
5What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksArvell ReeseNew York Jets

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2

    What happenedWent 5mocked at 2
    87.81Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Arvell Reese
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Depth Chart CallsDeshaun WatsonCleveland Browns

    Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.