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Derek Brown#12 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 31, 2026

Brown picked the Bills to beat the Ravens, the Lions to beat the Vikings, and the Rams to handle the Chargers.

Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#12Derek Brown’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Derek Brown said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think it's Buffalo and I think they cover.
Derek Brown, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)
The episode
Week 8 Fantasy Football Key Questions: Must-Start Players, Risky Rankings & Potential Breakouts! (Ep. 2307)
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
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  1. SaidOct 30
  2. PlayedNov 1
  3. GradedNov 1–2
  1. 1Los Angeles Rams to beat Chargers“That's the only thing that's pushing, and I think the Rams roll on this one.”
  2. 2Detroit Lions to beat Vikings“I think the Lions win this game. And I think this comes down to two distinct factors.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Los Angeles Rams to beat Chargers1Game Outcome PicksRams 24–91001000
Detroit Lions to beat Vikings2Game Outcome PicksLions 19–151001000
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled100100

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Chargers

    What happenedRams 24–9Chargers at Rams
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.61difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Nov 1): Rams by 6.5 · favorite pick, Rams 71%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    9-24
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksDetroit Lions

    Detroit Lions to beat Vikings

    What happenedLions 19–15Vikings at Lions
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.61difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Nov 1): Lions by 3 · favorite pick, Lions 60%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    DET
    score:
    15-19
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 100

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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