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Brandon GrahamSep 3, 2025

Graham predicts Saquon Barkley rushes for 100-plus yards in the Thursday opener against Dallas, the Eagles win that game, and Josh Allen finally gets over the hump with Buffalo this year; they also name Jayden Daniels a headache for defenses.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Game Outcome PicksThe callsettled
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
0Skillafter difficulty

What Brandon Graham said

I know you're gonna have his first hundred yard game.
Our reading: Philadelphia Eagles to beat Cowboys
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Wednesday Hour 2: Playoff Teams Reactions, Brandon Graham, and Defensive POY Predictions!
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidSep 3, 2025
  2. GradedAug 17, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia Eagles

    Philadelphia Eagles to beat Cowboys

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 4): Eagles by 8.5 · favorite pick, Eagles 78%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    20-24
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

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