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Carter ChickeringFeb 8, 2026

Chickering predicted the Seahawks would win the Super Bowl 21-17 over the Patriots, while saying the Patriots would cover the 4.5-point spread.

Said on air, transcribed by us · 95.7 The Game Weekends (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 close call · all settled
85.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
8.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Carter Chickering said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I've got the Seahawks winning the game, though. What's the score? I've got twenty one seventeen Seattle.
Carter Chickering, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
95.7 The Game Weekends (podcast)
The episode
Lubman and Chickering Hour 3: Super Bowl 60 Predictions
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
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  1. SaidFeb 8
  2. GradedAug 13
  1. 1Seattle Seahawks 21 — Patriots 17“I'm thinking like Seahawks 21, Patriot 17. That's what I think. ... I've got twenty one seventeen Seattle.”
  2. 2Seattle Seahawks to beat Patriots“I've got the Seahawks winning the game, though.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Seattle Seahawks 21 — Patriots 171Score Predictions—71.4316.73+54.7
Seattle Seahawks to beat Patriots2Game Outcome Picks—1000+100
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · all settled85.78.4

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 85.7 out of 100, against 8.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks 21 — Patriots 17

    VerdictClose
    71.43Close · naive 16.73
    71.43this call16.73a naive guess54.7better than naive1difficulty+54.7skill

    Closing line (Feb 8): Seahawks by 4.5, total 45.5 · this 21–17 calls a closer game (Seahawks by 4) and fewer points (38).

    How this was scored
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    54.7
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    71.43
    baseline:
    16.73
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    4
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to beat Patriots

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill

    Closing line (Feb 8): Seahawks by 4.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 2 in 3 (68%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    85.7naive 8.4

Who this take is about

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