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Carter Chickering· Feb 8, 2026

Chickering predicted the Seahawks would win the Super Bowl 21-17 over the Patriots, while saying the Patriots would cover the 4.5-point spread.

“I've got the Seahawks winning the game, though. What's the score? I've got twenty one seventeen Seattle.”

said on air, transcribed by us · 95.7 The Game Weekends (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

All 2 have settled, averaging 85.7 out of 100, against 8.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Seattle Seahawks 21 — Patriots 17

    “I'm thinking like Seahawks 21, Patriot 17. That's what I think. ... I've got twenty one seventeen Seattle.”

    Close · 71Scored 71.43a naive guess scored 16.73+54.7 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    54.7
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    71.43
    baseline:
    16.73
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks to beat Patriots

    “I've got the Seahawks winning the game, though.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

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