Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 24, 2025
Eisen gave their Week 4 NFL power rankings top 10, keeping the Eagles at No. 1 and adding the Seahawks as a new entry, while also predicting Seattle beats Arizona on Thursday night to reach 3-1 and the Rams beat the Colts.
Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original
What Rich Eisen said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI think they're gonna win Thursday night, and I think they're gonna be three and one.
- Where it was said
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
- The episode
- Hour 2: NFL Week 4 Power Rankings, Syracuse Head Coach Fran Brown
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 24, 2025
- GradedAug 13–17, 2026
- 1Seattle Seahawks to beat Cardinals“I think they're gonna win Thursday night, and I think they're gonna be three and one.”
- 2Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl“And, you know, I have the lines making the Super Bowl.”
- 3Los Angeles Rams to beat Colts“And this is Rams versus Colts this weekend. Whose house? And I think it's the Rams house. I do believe the Rams should win this one”
- 4Power Rankings“The Eagles, one, Bills, two, Chargers, three, Bucks, four, Lions, five. ... The Colts are there at eight. ... The Seahawks are new to the list. ... And the Ravens are still there.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks to beat Cardinals1 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +183 | |
| Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl2 | Conference Champions | NE and SEA won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Los Angeles Rams to beat Colts3 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| “The Eagles, one, Bills, two, Chargers, three, Bucks, four,…”4 | Power Rankings | — | 55.83 | 48.33 | +13.73 | |
| 4 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled | 64 | 37.1 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive4 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks, 1 conference champion and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 64 out of 100, against 37.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksSeattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to beat Cardinals
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.83difficulty=+183skillClosing line (Sep 25): Seahawks by 1.5 · a toss-up, Seahawks 53%, Cardinals 47%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- SEA
- score:
- 23-20
- skill:
- 183
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- ARI
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
2Conference ChampionsDetroit Lions
Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked DET0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.83difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE, SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
3Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams to beat Colts
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.83difficulty=0skillClosing line (Sep 28): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams 62%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 20-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- LAR
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
“The Eagles, one, Bills, two, Chargers, three, Bucks, four, Lions, five. ... The Colts are there at eight. ... The Seahawks are new to the list. ... And the Ravens are still there.”
VerdictClose55.83Close · naive 48.3355.83this call−48.33a naive guess=7.5better than naive×1.83difficulty=+13.73skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 13.73
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 55.83
- baseline:
- 48.33
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
64naive 37.1
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd predicts Matt Stafford stays with the Rams rather than moving on, and says Travis Hunter may underachieve because they're being asked to play both ways — Cowherd doubts they're a No. 1 receiver and would slot them as a No. 2 receiver while being a No. 1 corner.Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd believes Matt Stafford's public negotiation posturing means he ultimately stays in Los Angeles, and he flags Travis Hunter as a high draft pick who could underachieve because trying to play both cornerback and receiver full-time will hurt him.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.Tyler Sullivan · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.Dave Richard · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.