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Pete Prisco· Oct 1, 2026

Prisco picked the Browns to beat the Steelers 21-20 on Thursday night and the Bengals to beat the Jaguars 23-17 in Week 4.

“Prisco's pick: Browns 21-20 over Steelers”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 95.2 out of 100, against 95 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Cleveland Browns 21 — Steelers 20

    “Prisco's pick: Browns 21-20 over Steelers”

    Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 95.04+0.36 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    24-27
    skill:
    0.36
    they picked:
    CLE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    95.24
    baseline:
    95.04
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    15
    naive home margin:
    0.92
    predicted margin:
    1

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  • Cincinnati Bengals 23 — Jaguars 17

    “Pete Prisco — Bengals (-2.5) 23-17 over Jaguars.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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