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Tyler Sullivan· Oct 3, 2026

Sullivan flagged the Panthers as a potential Week 4 upset winner over the Lions, arguing Detroit's bottom-of-the-league defense gives Carolina a path to a victory that would even its record.

“it's their lackluster defense that puts them on upset alert”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Carolina Panthers to beat Lions

    “Tyler Sullivan of CBS Sports pointed to five possible upsets on the Week 4 slate. And he doesn't rule out Canales's club evening its record this season via a victory on Sunday night.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CAR
    score:
    26-32
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CAR
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15

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