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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 1, 2025

During "What's More Likely," Eisen picked the Ravens to reach the Super Bowl, insisted Terry McLaurin, Micah Parsons and Trey Hendrickson will all be playing Week 1 for their current teams, said Daniel Jones (not Anthony Richardson) will be the Colts' starting quarterback, and predicted Chase Brown becomes a top-10 running back as Cincinnati's Week 1 starter.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 4calls landed3 hits · 1 miss · 3 waiting
75Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
70.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 7Settled3 still waiting
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Chase Brown's gonna be a top 10 running back this year.
Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Top 5 Terry McLaurin Trade Destinations
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidAug 1, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13–17, 2026
  1. 1Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl“I'll go Ravens reach the Super Bowl. ... So Ravens reaching the Super Bowl. I mean, that that's as reasonable as a thought as anything else.”
  2. 2Chase Brown to be 1st on the depth chart“And Zach Moss is the reason why Chase Brown's season didn't start early enough last year. Chase Brown's season starts week one.”
  3. 3Chase Brown to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points“you think you're gonna steal him in some fantasy draft, but Chase Brown, Zach Moss got released... Chase Brown's gonna be a top 10 running back this year.”
  4. 4Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart“You don't think it's gonna end up being Anthony Richardson? No. I still think it'll be Daniel Jones because you can always go to Richardson second.”
  5. 5Terry McLaurin: a roster call with no direction stated“All three are in week one. ... McLaren is going to be at home against the Giants trying to do what he did last year again. ... But if you have to choose one over the other, I'd go McLaurin.”
  6. 6Micah Parsons: a roster call with no direction stated“All three are in week one. ... Micah's gonna be in Philadelphia chasing Jalen Hertz”
  7. 7Trey Hendrickson: a roster call with no direction stated“And Trey Hendrickson's gonna be gunning for, I I believe, Joe Flacco week one in Cleveland. And they'll all have their new deals”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl1Conference ChampionsNE and SEA won000
Chase Brown to be 1st on the depth chart2Depth Chart CallsNo. 11001000
Chase Brown to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points3Positional FinishesFinished #1010083.33+33.33
Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart4Depth Chart CallsNo. 11001000
Terry McLaurin: a roster call with no direction stated5Roster Spot Calls————
Micah Parsons: a roster call with no direction stated6Roster Spot Calls————
Trey Hendrickson: a roster call with no direction stated7Roster Spot Calls————
7 calls · 3 hits · 1 miss · 3 waiting7570.8

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

7 checkable claims — 3 roster spot calls, 2 depth chart calls, 1 conference champion and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 75 out of 100, against 70.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Conference ChampionsBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl

    What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked BAL
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Depth Chart CallsChase BrownCincinnati Bengals

    Chase Brown to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by rushing yards
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CIN
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Chase Brown
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    RB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    rushing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Positional FinishesChase BrownCincinnati Bengals

    Chase Brown to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points

    What happenedFinished #10called #10 · by fantasy points
    100Hit · naive 83.33
    100this call83.33a naive guess16.67better than naive2difficulty+33.33skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    33.33
    player:
    Chase Brown
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    83.33
    position:
    RB
    ranked by:
    fantasy points
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    12
    actual finish:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    18
    predicted finish:
    10
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Depth Chart CallsDaniel JonesIndianapolis Colts

    Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    IND
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Daniel Jones
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Roster Spot CallsTerry McLaurinWashington Commanders

    Terry McLaurin: a roster call with no direction stated

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. 6Roster Spot CallsMicah ParsonsDallas Cowboys

    Micah Parsons: a roster call with no direction stated

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  7. 7Roster Spot CallsTrey HendricksonCincinnati Bengals

    Trey Hendrickson: a roster call with no direction stated

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  8. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    75naive 70.8

Others on the same people

More roster spot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.