Skip to main content

Jared Dubin#60 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 17, 2026

Unsigned CBS Sports preview of Bills-Lions picks Buffalo to win a high-scoring Thursday night game 35-31, and expects Larry Borom to step in as Detroit's starting right tackle for the injured Blake Miller.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 1 waiting
85.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
79.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#60Jared Dubin’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jared Dubin said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Pick: Bills 35, Lions 31
Jared Dubin, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Previewing Lions vs. Bills: High-powered offenses kick off Week 2 as Buffalo unveils new stadium
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 17
  2. PlayedSep 17
  3. GradedSep 18
  1. 1Buffalo Bills 35 — Lions 31“I lean toward the Bills for the win in the debut of their new stadium... Pick: Bills 35, Lions 31”
  2. 2Larry Borom to be 1st on the depth chart“Larry Borom is likely to take over for Miller at tackle.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Buffalo Bills 35 — Lions 311Score PredictionsBills 41–3185.7179.41+12.23
Larry Borom to be 1st on the depth chart2Depth Chart Calls————
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting85.779.4

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 85.7 out of 100, against 79.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills 35 — Lions 31

    What happenedBills 41–31called Bills by 4 · won by 10
    85.71Hit · naive 79.41
    85.71this call79.41a naive guess6.3better than naive1.94difficulty+12.23skill

    Closing line (Sep 17): Bills by 5.5, total 54.5 · this 35–31 calls a closer game (Bills by 4) and more points (66).

    How this was scored
    score:
    31-41
    skill:
    12.23
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    85.71
    baseline:
    79.41
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    1.35
    predicted margin:
    4
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Depth Chart CallsLarry BoromDetroit Lions

    Larry Borom to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.