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Jordan Dajani#23 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 9, 2026

Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

62Close · out of 100
Bills 23–6What happenedcalled Bills by 1 · won by 17
9.52A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
61.9This callout of 100
#23Jordan Dajani’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jordan Dajani said

Jordan Dajani's pick: Bills 24-23 over Vikings
Our reading: Buffalo Bills 24 — Vikings 23
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Bills-Vikings picks for Monday night, plus NFL Week 9 losers and Jaguars make trade for Pro Bowl safety
The original
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  1. SaidNov 9
  2. PlayedNov 9
  3. GradedNov 10

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 61.9 out of 100, against 9.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Score PredictionsBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills 24 — Vikings 23

    What happenedBills 23–6called Bills by 1 · won by 17
    61.9Close · naive 9.52
    61.9this call9.52a naive guess52.38better than naive1.56difficulty+81.71skill

    Closing line (Nov 9): Bills by 3, total 45.5 · this 24–23 calls a closer game (Bills by 1) and more points (47).

    How this was scored
    score:
    23-6
    skill:
    81.71
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    61.9
    baseline:
    9.52
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0
    predicted margin:
    1
    Think this is wrong?

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