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17 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →99.1% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 4 of 9 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in articles (2 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
1001–1025 of 1,028
570 / 1,028
graded
458 still pending
Outside the room in 3 of 7 articles (2 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 82.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 8 articles (2 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 63.6 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 12 articles (2 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 47.0 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 9 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 8.3 accuracy (2 settled)
Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (the start of round three, end of round two)
to get that guy in the start of round three, end of round two, I want him all day, every day
Garrett Wilson to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty six)
So I think he's too low because I think I love the talent
CeeDee Lamb to outplay his draft cost (ECR six)
So yeah, I like Ceedee Lamb a lot. I think that he's he's coming at a discount.
I have him five... I have him ranked at ten [Barkley]... I have Drake London my eleventh ranked overall player... I have him at sixteen [Bowers]... So I have him at number twenty three [Chase Brown]... I have Garrett Wilson at number twenty five overall... You've got him at forty one [Worthy]... I'm right where Ericson is forty sixth overall [DJ Moore]... so I have him at fifty one [Hubbard]... I have him right at ECR at sixty overall [Aaron Jones]
DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty nine)
I don't think he's going to be a bust by any means, but maybe underwhelm a little bit versus his ECR
Jordan Mason to outplay his draft cost (one twenty)
I'd rather just take Jordan Mason at one to twenty because... I just like the value more with Jordan Mason
Ashton Jeanty to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points
False because he finishes a top three running back.
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (round four)
There's just like so many ways the right doesn't work out versus the cost you have to pay for him... So yeah, I agree kind of being lower on Rashie Rice.
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty)
there's too many red flags with Tyrek to take him ECR thirty for me
Garrett Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart
It's gonna be the Garrett Wilson show... I think Wilson's going to see flirt with a potential thirty percent target share
Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (ECR ten)
So give me Ashton Genty and his three hundred and fifty touches.
Tyreek Hill to move — “not on the Dolphins in Week 1 of 2025”
is Tyrek Hill on the team in League eight team in twenty twenty five? ... So I'm going to say, I'm going to say no.
Brock Bowers to outplay his draft cost (ECR fifteen)
And I do think brock Bauer should go at the turn in twelve team drafts.
Chuba Hubbard to be 1st on the depth chart
So I'm not worried about Dowell supplanting Chuba Hubbard. I'm not too worried about fourth round draft pick Trevor Etn... supplanting Cuba.
I have him at seven overall Welsh... twelfth overall [Bowers]... I think I've got him fifteenth overall [London]... Fits you've got him at twenty six [Evans]... I've got him at thirty thirty four [Wilson]... I'm right where Ericson is forty sixth overall [DJ Moore]... you've got him at fifty [Aaron Jones]... Worthy I have at fifty five... I've gone him at fifty eight overall [Rice]
DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty nine)
It's more of a gentle fade for me... I'm probably not going to have a lot of DJ Moore in twenty twenty five.
Chuba Hubbard to outplay his draft cost (more towards the late fourth)
because I would be perfectly comfortable taking him early in the fourth and he's going more towards the late fourth
Garrett Wilson to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty six)
I'm ahead of ECR on him for sure, And like I might even be able to move Garrett Wilson a little higher
T.J. Hockenson to fall short of his draft cost (a sixth rounder in ECR)
I just cannot get on board with a sixth round ECR for him.
Mike Evans to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty two)
I do still think Evans is a pretty low risk, high yield investment... So I'm going to keep drafting Mike Evans.
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (ECR sixteen, a second round pick)
McCaffrey is not a risk worth taking because when your shark, your emphasis in the first two rounds should be on avoiding the bear traps
Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (ECR ten)
I don't need to wait until the back end of the first round of Draft ash and jenty just because he hasn't compiled any sort of NFL resume yet.
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (a mid third round price)
I just I want no part of thirty one year old Tyreek Hill coming off a bad year... I don't really want to pay a mid third round price to find out
Brock Bowers to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
So yes, I do think Bowers is a clear tier above anyone else at tight end.
Drake London to outplay his draft cost (ECR nineteen)
I think London is absolutely worthy of being drafted close to the turn... I'm higher on him than ECR