Andrew Erickson· May 17, 2025
Erickson laid out his personal 2025 redraft top-75-style ranks, going higher than consensus on Ashton Jeanty (whom he sees finishing as a top-three RB), Drake London (top-three WR upside with 15 TDs), CeeDee Lamb, Chase Brown, Garrett Wilson and Xavier Worthy, while fading Saquon Barkley, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice, DeVonta Smith, DJ Moore and Jordan Addison.
“False because he finishes a top three running back.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
16 checkable claims — 7 sleeper calls, 4 fantasy bust calls, 2 positional finishes, 1 depth chart call, 1 fantasy ranking and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 23 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 16 have settled, averaging 54.4 out of 100, against 41.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
- Tyreek Hill
- Miami Dolphins
- Garrett Wilson
- New York Jets
- DJ Moore
- Chicago Bears
- Ashton Jeanty
- Las Vegas Raiders
- Xavier Worthy
- Kansas City Chiefs
- Christian McCaffrey
- San Francisco 49ers
- Chase Brown
- Cincinnati Bengals
- Jordan Mason
- Minnesota Vikings
- Saquon Barkley
- Philadelphia Eagles
- Rashee Rice
- CeeDee Lamb
- Dallas Cowboys
- Drake London
- Atlanta Falcons
16 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Fantasy Bust CallsTyreek HillMiami DolphinsMay 17, 2025
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty)
“there's too many red flags with Tyrek to take him ECR thirty for me”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- bust
- cost:
- ECR thirty
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Tyreek Hill
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR23
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR107
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
- Sleeper CallsGarrett WilsonNew York JetsMay 17, 2025
Garrett Wilson to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty six)
“So I think he's too low because I think I love the talent”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- ECR thirty six
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Garrett Wilson
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR16
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR64
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
- Fantasy Bust CallsDJ MooreChicago BearsMay 17, 2025
DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty nine)
“I don't think he's going to be a bust by any means, but maybe underwhelm a little bit versus his ECR”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- bust
- cost:
- ECR thirty nine
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- DJ Moore
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR22
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR27
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
- Sleeper CallsAshton JeantyLas Vegas RaidersMay 17, 2025
Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (ECR ten)
“So give me Ashton Genty and his three hundred and fifty touches.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- ECR ten
- naive:
- a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Ashton Jeanty
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB24
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB15
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
- Sleeper CallsXavier WorthyKansas City ChiefsMay 17, 2025
Xavier Worthy to outplay his draft cost (ECR fifty four)
“So I just think that Worthy's kind of just being undervalued a little bit.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- ECR fifty four
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Xavier Worthy
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR32
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR59
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Christian McCaffrey to outplay his draft cost (the second round)
“I love taking him in the second round... and I love getting the discount. Round two”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- the second round
- naive:
- the draft market was right and he returned about what he cost
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Christian McCaffrey
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- cost round:
- 2
- had to beat:
- RB6
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the cost the source quoted — the second round
- Sleeper CallsChase BrownCincinnati BengalsMay 17, 2025
Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (the start of round three, end of round two)
“to get that guy in the start of round three, end of round two, I want him all day, every day”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- the start of round three, end of round two
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Chase Brown
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB12
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB10
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
- Sleeper CallsJordan MasonMinnesota VikingsMay 17, 2025
Jordan Mason to outplay his draft cost (one twenty)
“I'd rather just take Jordan Mason at one to twenty because... I just like the value more with Jordan Mason”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- one twenty
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Jordan Mason
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB33
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB33
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Saquon Barkley to fall short of his draft cost (ECR number two, the number one running back)
“I don't think that he should be the number one running back Ranke... So I'm just going with the process play... I'm just gonna face Saquon”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- bust
- cost:
- ECR number two, the number one running back
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Saquon Barkley
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB1
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB13
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
- Fantasy Bust CallsRashee RiceKansas City ChiefsMay 17, 2025
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (round four)
“There's just like so many ways the right doesn't work out versus the cost you have to pay for him... So yeah, I agree kind of being lower on Rashie Rice.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- bust
- cost:
- round four
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Rashee Rice
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR97
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR41
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
- Sleeper CallsCeeDee LambDallas CowboysMay 17, 2025
CeeDee Lamb to outplay his draft cost (ECR six)
“So yeah, I like Ceedee Lamb a lot. I think that he's he's coming at a discount.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- ECR six
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- CeeDee Lamb
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR23
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
- Depth Chart CallsGarrett WilsonNew York JetsMay 17, 2025
Garrett Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart
“It's gonna be the Garrett Wilson show... I think Wilson's going to see flirt with a potential thirty percent target share”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- NYJ
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Garrett Wilson
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Player Season NumbersDrake LondonAtlanta FalconsMay 17, 2025
Drake London to record 15 receiving tds
“I think that he could score fifteen touchdowns attached to Michael Pennock.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 77.12-154.24 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 6.2
- skill:
- -154.24
- what happened:
- 7
- player:
- Drake London
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 77.12
- predicted:
- 15
- statistic:
- receiving_tds
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 9
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 3.4
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- Fantasy RankingsMay 17, 2025
“I have him five... I have him ranked at ten [Barkley]... I have Drake London my eleventh ranked overall player... I have him at sixteen [Bowers]... So I have him at number twenty three [Chase Brown]... I have Garrett Wilson at number twenty five overall... You've got him at forty one [Worthy]... I'm right where Ericson is forty sixth overall [DJ Moore]... so I have him at fifty one [Hubbard]... I have him right at ECR at sixty overall [Aaron Jones]”
Close · 71Scored 71.11a naive guess scored 50+42.22 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 42.22
- placed:
- 9
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 10
- accuracy:
- 71.11
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- RB 5: 80, WR 4: 60
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Ashton Jeanty to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points
“False because he finishes a top three running back.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 25-50 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -50
- player:
- Ashton Jeanty
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 25
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — the startable tier at RB
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 24
- actual finish:
- 15
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 3
- Positional FinishesDrake LondonAtlanta FalconsMay 17, 2025
Drake London to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points
“I think Drake London could be a top three, if not the number one overall receiver”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 8.33-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- Drake London
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 8.33
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 6
- actual finish:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 3
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesMiss · 0Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Minnesota VikingsHit · 100Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
More sleeper calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Derek BrownSleeper Calls · Travis HunterHit · 100Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave his own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them.
- Tom StrachanSleeper Calls · Jalen CokerHit · 100Tom Strachan backed Xavier Worthy, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, Zay Flowers, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter as values at their draft costs, while avoiding Jerry Jeudy and the Cleveland receivers.
- Chris WelshSleeper Calls · Tyler WarrenHit · 100Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.
- Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls · Chris Rodriguez Jr.Hit · 100Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields.
- Joe PisapiaSleeper Calls · RJ HarveyHit · 100Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon.
- Ryan WormeliSleeper Calls · Tetairoa McMillanHit · 100Hosting the segment, Warmley backed Bryce Young to finish better than his QB22 consensus ranking, endorsed Cedric Tillman as a late-round target, and said Tetairoa McMillan will be a top-15 fantasy receiver this season.