Andrew Erickson#30 of 87 NFL pundits · May 17, 2025
Erickson laid out their personal 2025 redraft top-75-style ranks, going higher than consensus on Ashton Jeanty (whom they see finishing as a top-three RB), Drake London (top-three WR upside with 15 TDs), CeeDee Lamb, Chase Brown, Garrett Wilson and Xavier Worthy, while fading Saquon Barkley, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice, DeVonta Smith, DJ Moore and Jordan Addison.
Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original
What Andrew Erickson said
False because he finishes a top three running back.
- Where it was said
- FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)
- The episode
- FantasyPros - ARE THE RANKINGS WRONG? | Top 75 Overall Player Rankings & Impact (Ep. 1571)
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidMay 17, 2025
- GradedAug 5–19, 2026
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fantasy Bust Calls | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sleeper Calls | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Depth Chart Calls | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player Season Numbers | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fantasy Rankings | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Positional Finishes | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| All | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
How each call scored
16 checkable claims — 7 sleeper calls, 4 fantasy bust calls, 2 positional finishes, 1 depth chart call, 1 fantasy ranking and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 23 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 16 have settled, averaging 54.4 out of 100, against 41.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Fantasy Bust Calls3 hits · 1 missShow ▸Hide ▾
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty)
“there's too many red flags with Tyrek to take him ECR thirty for me”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- bust
- cost:
- ECR thirty
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Tyreek Hill
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR23
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR107
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty nine)
“I don't think he's going to be a bust by any means, but maybe underwhelm a little bit versus his ECR”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- bust
- cost:
- ECR thirty nine
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- DJ Moore
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR22
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR27
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Saquon Barkley to fall short of his draft cost (ECR number two, the number one running back)
“I don't think that he should be the number one running back Ranke... So I'm just going with the process play... I'm just gonna face Saquon”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- bust
- cost:
- ECR number two, the number one running back
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Saquon Barkley
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB1
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB13
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (round four)
“There's just like so many ways the right doesn't work out versus the cost you have to pay for him... So yeah, I agree kind of being lower on Rashie Rice.”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- bust
- cost:
- round four
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Rashee Rice
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR97
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR41
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Sleeper Calls4 hits · 3 missesShow ▸Hide ▾
Garrett Wilson to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty six)
“So I think he's too low because I think I love the talent”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- ECR thirty six
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Garrett Wilson
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR16
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR64
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (ECR ten)
“So give me Ashton Genty and his three hundred and fifty touches.”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- ECR ten
- naive:
- a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Ashton Jeanty
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB24
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB15
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
Xavier Worthy to outplay his draft cost (ECR fifty four)
“So I just think that Worthy's kind of just being undervalued a little bit.”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- ECR fifty four
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Xavier Worthy
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR32
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR59
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Christian McCaffrey to outplay his draft cost (the second round)
“I love taking him in the second round... and I love getting the discount. Round two”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- the second round
- naive:
- the draft market was right and he returned about what he cost
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Christian McCaffrey
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- cost round:
- 2
- had to beat:
- RB6
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the cost the source quoted — the second round
Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (the start of round three, end of round two)
“to get that guy in the start of round three, end of round two, I want him all day, every day”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- the start of round three, end of round two
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Chase Brown
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB12
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB10
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Jordan Mason to outplay his draft cost (one twenty)
“I'd rather just take Jordan Mason at one to twenty because... I just like the value more with Jordan Mason”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- one twenty
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Jordan Mason
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB33
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB33
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
CeeDee Lamb to outplay his draft cost (ECR six)
“So yeah, I like Ceedee Lamb a lot. I think that he's he's coming at a discount.”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- ECR six
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- CeeDee Lamb
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR23
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Depth Chart Calls1 hitShow ▸Hide ▾
Garrett Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart
“It's gonna be the Garrett Wilson show... I think Wilson's going to see flirt with a potential thirty percent target share”
No. 1called No. 1 · by receptions100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- NYJ
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Garrett Wilson
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Player Season Numbers1 missShow ▸Hide ▾
Drake London to record 15 receiving tds
“I think that he could score fifteen touchdowns attached to Michael Pennock.”
7called 150Miss0 − 77.12 naive = −77.12 × 2 difficulty = −154.24 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- 6.2
- skill:
- −154.24
- what happened:
- 7
- player:
- Drake London
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 77.12
- they said:
- 15
- statistic:
- receiving_tds
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 9
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 3.4
- zero at percent out:
- 50
Fantasy Rankings1 close callShow ▸Hide ▾
“I have him five... I have him ranked at ten [Barkley]... I have Drake London my eleventh ranked overall player... I have him at sixteen [Bowers]... So I have him at number twenty three [Chase Brown]... I have Garrett Wilson at number twenty five overall... You've got him at forty one [Worthy]... I'm right where Ericson is forty sixth overall [DJ Moore]... so I have him at fifty one [Hubbard]... I have him right at ECR at sixty overall [Aaron Jones]”
71.11Close71.11 − 50 naive = 21.11 × 2 difficulty = +42.22 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 42.22
- placed:
- 9
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 10
- accuracy:
- 71.11
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- RB 5: 80, WR 4: 60
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Positional Finishes2 missesShow ▸Hide ▾
Ashton Jeanty to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points
“False because he finishes a top three running back.”
Finished #15called #3 · by fantasy points0Miss0 − 25 naive = −25 × 2 difficulty = −50 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −50
- player:
- Ashton Jeanty
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 25
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — the startable tier at RB
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 24
- actual finish:
- 15
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 3
Drake London to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points
“I think Drake London could be a top three, if not the number one overall receiver”
Finished #17called #3 · by fantasy points0Miss0 − 8.33 naive = −8.33 × 2 difficulty = −16.67 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −16.67
- player:
- Drake London
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 8.33
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 6
- actual finish:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 3
Who this take is about
Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins, Garrett Wilson, New York Jets, DJ Moore, Chicago Bears, Ashton Jeanty, Las Vegas Raiders, Xavier Worthy, Kansas City Chiefs, Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco 49ers, Chase Brown, Cincinnati Bengals, Jordan Mason, Minnesota Vikings, Saquon Barkley, Philadelphia Eagles, Rashee Rice, CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys, Drake London, Atlanta Falcons
Others on the same people
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.Charean Williams · Roster Spot Calls · Odell Beckham Jr. · Miss 0
Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad.Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.
More sleeper calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Derek Brown · Sleeper Calls · Travis Hunter · Hit 100
Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave their own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them.Chris Welsh · Sleeper Calls · Tyler Warren · Hit 100
Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.Pat Fitzmaurice · Sleeper Calls · Chris Rodriguez Jr. · Hit 100
Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (their WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (their QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields.Joe Pisapia · Sleeper Calls · RJ Harvey · Hit 100
Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon.