Pat Fitzmaurice#8 of 87 NFL pundits · May 17, 2025
Fitzmorris gave their personal ranks, pushing Ashton Jeanty, Brock Bowers (whom they call a clear tier above all tight ends), Drake London, Mike Evans, Garrett Wilson, Chuba Hubbard and Aaron Jones above consensus while fading Christian McCaffrey, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice, DJ Moore and TJ Hockenson.
Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original
What Pat Fitzmaurice said
So yes, I do think Bowers is a clear tier above anyone else at tight end.
- Where it was said
- FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)
- The episode
- FantasyPros - ARE THE RANKINGS WRONG? | Top 75 Overall Player Rankings & Impact (Ep. 1571)
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidMay 17, 2025
- GradedAug 5–19, 2026
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fantasy Bust Calls | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Sleeper Calls | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | |
| Fantasy Rankings | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Positional Finishes | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Depth Chart Calls | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| All | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
How each call scored
15 checkable claims — 7 sleeper calls, 5 fantasy bust calls, 1 depth chart call, 1 fantasy ranking and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 22 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 15 have settled, averaging 33.1 out of 100, against 72.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Fantasy Bust Calls2 hits · 3 missesShow ▸Hide ▾
T.J. Hockenson to fall short of his draft cost (a sixth rounder in ECR)
“I just cannot get on board with a sixth round ECR for him.”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- bust
- cost:
- a sixth rounder in ECR
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- T.J. Hockenson
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- TE
- had to beat:
- TE33
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- TE29
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (an ECR of forty three)
“with Rashie Rice at an ECR of forty three and Xavier Worthy at fifty four, at least one of those guys has to be a colossal disappointment at their current cost”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- bust
- cost:
- an ECR of forty three
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Rashee Rice
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR97
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR41
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (ECR sixteen, a second round pick)
“McCaffrey is not a risk worth taking because when your shark, your emphasis in the first two rounds should be on avoiding the bear traps”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- bust
- cost:
- ECR sixteen, a second round pick
- naive:
- the draft market was right and he returned about what he cost
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Christian McCaffrey
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- cost round:
- 2
- had to beat:
- RB6
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the cost the source quoted — ECR sixteen, a second round pick
DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty nine)
“It's more of a gentle fade for me... I'm probably not going to have a lot of DJ Moore in twenty twenty five.”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- bust
- cost:
- ECR thirty nine
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- DJ Moore
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR22
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR27
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (a mid third round price)
“I just I want no part of thirty one year old Tyreek Hill coming off a bad year... I don't really want to pay a mid third round price to find out”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- bust
- cost:
- a mid third round price
- naive:
- the draft market was right and he returned about what he cost
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Tyreek Hill
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- cost round:
- 3
- had to beat:
- WR10
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR107
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the cost the source quoted — a mid third round price
Sleeper Calls1 hit · 6 missesShow ▸Hide ▾
Aaron Jones to outplay his draft cost (his end of the fifth round ECR)
“maybe people are a little bored with him, so I think he's going to be a value in drafts”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- his end of the fifth round ECR
- naive:
- the draft market was right and he returned about what he cost
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Aaron Jones
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- cost round:
- 5
- had to beat:
- RB20
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB44
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the cost the source quoted — his end of the fifth round ECR
Chuba Hubbard to outplay his draft cost (more towards the late fourth)
“because I would be perfectly comfortable taking him early in the fourth and he's going more towards the late fourth”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- more towards the late fourth
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Chuba Hubbard
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB13
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB42
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Garrett Wilson to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty six)
“I'm ahead of ECR on him for sure, And like I might even be able to move Garrett Wilson a little higher”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- ECR thirty six
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Garrett Wilson
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR16
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR64
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Brock Bowers to outplay his draft cost (ECR fifteen)
“And I do think brock Bauer should go at the turn in twelve team drafts.”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- ECR fifteen
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Brock Bowers
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- TE
- had to beat:
- TE2
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- TE8
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (ECR ten)
“I don't need to wait until the back end of the first round of Draft ash and jenty just because he hasn't compiled any sort of NFL resume yet.”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- ECR ten
- naive:
- a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Ashton Jeanty
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB24
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB15
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
Drake London to outplay his draft cost (ECR nineteen)
“I think London is absolutely worthy of being drafted close to the turn... I'm higher on him than ECR”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- ECR nineteen
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Drake London
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR6
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR17
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Mike Evans to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty two)
“I do still think Evans is a pretty low risk, high yield investment... So I'm going to keep drafting Mike Evans.”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- ECR thirty two
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Mike Evans
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR7
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR76
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Fantasy Rankings1 close callShow ▸Hide ▾
“I have him at seven overall Welsh... twelfth overall [Bowers]... I think I've got him fifteenth overall [London]... Fits you've got him at twenty six [Evans]... I've got him at thirty thirty four [Wilson]... I'm right where Ericson is forty sixth overall [DJ Moore]... you've got him at fifty [Aaron Jones]... Worthy I have at fifty five... I've gone him at fifty eight overall [Rice]”
63.57Close63.57 − 50 naive = 13.57 × 2 difficulty = +27.14 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 27.14
- placed:
- 8
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 9
- accuracy:
- 63.57
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- RB 2: 100, WR 6: 51.43
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Positional Finishes1 close callShow ▸Hide ▾
Brock Bowers to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
“So yes, I do think Bowers is a clear tier above anyone else at tight end.”
Finished #8called #1 · by fantasy points41.67Close41.67 − 50 naive = −8.33 × 2 difficulty = −16.67 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −16.67
- player:
- Brock Bowers
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 41.67
- baseline:
- 50
- position:
- TE
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 2
- actual finish:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
Depth Chart Calls1 hitShow ▸Hide ▾
Chuba Hubbard to be 1st on the depth chart
“So I'm not worried about Dowell supplanting Chuba Hubbard. I'm not too worried about fourth round draft pick Trevor Etn... supplanting Cuba.”
No. 2called No. 1 · by rushing yards91.67Hit91.67 − 91.67 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CAR
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Chuba Hubbard
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Who this take is about
T.J. Hockenson, Minnesota Vikings, Aaron Jones, Chuba Hubbard, Carolina Panthers, Garrett Wilson, New York Jets, Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders, Ashton Jeanty, Rashee Rice, Kansas City Chiefs, Drake London, Atlanta Falcons, Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco 49ers, DJ Moore, Chicago Bears, Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins
Others on the same people
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.Charean Williams · Roster Spot Calls · Odell Beckham Jr. · Miss 0
Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad.
More sleeper calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Derek Brown · Sleeper Calls · Travis Hunter · Hit 100
Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave their own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them.Chris Welsh · Sleeper Calls · Tyler Warren · Hit 100
Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.Joe Pisapia · Sleeper Calls · RJ Harvey · Hit 100
Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon.Derek Brown · Sleeper Calls · George Pickens · Hit 100
Brown's five-to-one breakout list was Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Tucker Kraft, Ricky Pearsall, George Pickens and Tetairoa McMillan; they forecast Brian Robinson Jr. being cut or traded, Kraft finishing as a top-five/six tight end, Pickens as a top-15 receiver and McMillan spiking for double-digit touchdowns.Jake Ciely · Sleeper Calls · Marvin Mims Jr. · Miss 0
Counting down their top-five middle/late-round breakout candidates, Seely picked Bryce Young, Cedric Tillman, Braelon Allen, Marvin Mims and Rome Odunze, arguing Young can be a fringe QB1 with added rushing, Tillman and Mims are their teams' No. 2 receivers, and Caleb Williams will post a huge statistical season that lifts Odunze.