Ravens 24, Titans 18: The Room Called the Winner, Missed the Game
Baltimore beat Tennessee 24-18 in Week 4, and on the only question that gets scored as a straight hit or miss — who wins — the room we track didn't have a single dissenter. Seventeen graded calls settled on this game: twelve exact-score predictions and five outcome or "lock of the week" picks. Not one voice, by game-room count, took the Titans.
A unanimous call, a middling result
The split was 16 pundits for the Ravens, zero for the Titans — one voice per person, latest call standing. That's not a lean, it's a wipeout.
A unanimous pick that cashes should be a shrug, and on the "who wins" line, it is. But look at how the room thought this game would go: the median predicted margin among the twelve pundits who gave exact scores was 14 points. The actual margin was 6. Tennessee didn't win, but it also didn't get run off the field the way almost the entire room expected. That gap between a correct pick and a correct read is the whole story here.
The closest calls
Dan Parr had the tightest number in the building: Ravens 23-16, a seven-point projected margin against an actual six, missing by just one point. That translated to 97.62 accuracy and a skill score of +17.43 — well above the field, because getting the margin close is worth more than just getting the winner right. Gennaro Filice (Ravens 21-13, missed by 2) and Eric Moody (Ravens 28-19, missed by 3) were the only other pundits within a field goal of the real margin.
Worth separating from that group: the five pundits — including Nick Wright, who said flatly, "I would be. Gobsmacked if the Titans won this game" — who made a straight outcome pick with no score attached. Those graded 100 accuracy and zero skill. That zero isn't a knock; it's the math doing its job. Picking the home favorite to win outright is the naive, default call, so beating it earns nothing extra. The pundits who actually added value here were the ones who got the margin close, not the ones who simply took the obvious side.
The misses
At the other end, three pundits overshot the margin badly. Pete Prisco projected Ravens 33-14 — a 19-point margin, missing by 13 points, the worst score call on this game (-34.86 skill). Tyler Sullivan (Ravens 33-16) and Chris Simms (Ravens 34-17) both missed by 11, each landing at -26.14. Simms was characteristically blunt about why: "I'm going Ravens thirty four seventeen... I think Baltimore totally controls this game." Baltimore won, but didn't control much of anything by the final accounting.
What this did to their records
None of this was a surprise swing for the pundits involved. Pete Prisco's broader score-prediction log sits at 59.22 accuracy across 76 graded calls — a middling number this miss fits into rather than disrupts. Dan Parr's record is thinner — 16 graded calls overall, 14 of them score predictions — so one sharp call like this one carries real weight toward his still-developing average. Nick Wright's outcome-picking record runs far deeper: 162 graded game-outcome calls at 60.21 accuracy, so correctly calling the Ravens here is one more data point in an already large, middle-of-the-pack sample, not a game-changer either way.
Beyond this result
The win keeps Baltimore's season on the track most of the room expected before kickoff — preseason win-total calls on the Ravens clustered heavily in the 11-to-14 win range, and multiple pundits had them as a division favorite or AFC playoff lock. Tennessee's preseason outlook ran the other way, with projections mostly in the 3-to-9 win range and more than one pundit forecasting a losing season; nothing about an 18-point output in a six-point loss moves that needle much. For the full season-long picture on both clubs, see the Baltimore Ravens and Tennessee Titans pages, and for how these pundits stack up across everything we track, the leaderboard.