Ayrton OstlyApr 16, 2026
Ausley pegs Max Iannikor among the seven tackles going inside the first 50 picks (with a chance to sneak into round one), sees edge Gabe Jacas as a mid-second-round pick they mocked to the Packers, ranks Mansour Delaine and Jermott McCoy as the top two corners in the class, and lays out the 49ers' cornerback depth chart with Lenoir, Stout and Renardo Green starting and Jack Jones behind Stout in the nickel.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On 49ers (podcast)Hear the original
What Ayrton Ostly said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromHe seems like a mid second rounder, just because he's not he doesn't quite have the traits to bump into, say, like, the, Arbel Reese or the David Bailey tier of edges in this class.
- Where it was said
- Locked On 49ers (podcast)
- The episode
- 49ERS SQUAD SHOW: Are 49ers TIPPING THEIR HAND With Top 30 Visits?
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidApr 16
- GradedAug 14
- 1Gabe Akas to be picked “mid second rounder” (picks 33–64)“I know in my, one of my latest mock drafts, I had him going in the second round to the Packers with their first draft pick in this class. He seems like a mid second rounder”
- 2Jermod McCoy to be 2nd cornerback off the board“So the neck the number two corner in the class, my opinion, Jermott McCoy, didn't play last year because of a torn ACL.”
- 3Mansoor Delane to be 1st cornerback off the board“This is a quarterback class that is, top heavy in that the top guy I really like. Mansour Delaine out of LSU.”
- 4Upton Stout to be 1st on the depth chart“You got, obviously, Lenore, Stout, Renardo Green starters.”
- 5Deommodore Lenoir to be 1st on the depth chart“You got, obviously, Lenore, Stout, Renardo Green starters.”
- 6Jack Jones to be 2nd on the depth chart“Jack Jones and Nickel behind Upton Stout rotate in, give give Stout a a breather when he needs.”
- 7Max Iheanachor to be picked “the first 50 picks”“That group of seven tackles, those are the guys who are gonna be basically the the first up in the first 50 picks... we could see Jano Choi make it into round one.”
- 8Renardo Green to be 1st on the depth chart“You got, obviously, Lenore, Stout, Renardo Green starters.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Akas to be picked “mid second rounder” (picks 33–64)1 | Mock Draft Picks | Went undrafted | 0 | 50 | — | |
| Jermod McCoy to be 2nd cornerback off the board2 | Position Order Calls | — | 3.13 | 21.34 | −18.21 | |
| Mansoor Delane to be 1st cornerback off the board3 | Position Order Calls | — | 100 | 12.64 | +87.36 | |
| Upton Stout to be 1st on the depth chart4 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Deommodore Lenoir to be 1st on the depth chart5 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Jack Jones to be 2nd on the depth chart6 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Max Iheanachor to be picked “the first 50 picks”7 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| Renardo Green to be 1st on the depth chart8 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 8 calls · 1 hit · 2 misses · 5 waiting | 34.4 | 28 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive8 checkable claims — 4 depth chart calls, 2 mock draft picks and 2 position order calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 34.4 out of 100, against 28 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
1Mock Draft PicksGabe AkasGreen Bay Packers
Gabe Akas to be picked “mid second rounder” (picks 33–64)
What happenedWent undrafted0Miss · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Gabe Akas
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- mid second rounder (picks 33–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
2Position Order CallsJermod McCoy
Jermod McCoy to be 2nd cornerback off the board
VerdictMiss3.13Miss · naive 21.343.13this call−21.34a naive guess=−18.21worse than naive×1difficulty=−18.21skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 27 at random averages 21.34
- skill:
- −18.21
- player:
- Jermod McCoy
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 3.13
- baseline:
- 21.34
- position:
- cornerback
- class size:
- 27
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 12
- predicted order:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
3Position Order CallsMansoor Delane
Mansoor Delane to be 1st cornerback off the board
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 12.64100this call−12.64a naive guess=87.36better than naive×1difficulty=+87.36skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 27 at random averages 12.64
- skill:
- 87.36
- player:
- Mansoor Delane
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 12.64
- position:
- cornerback
- class size:
- 27
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
4Depth Chart CallsUpton StoutSan Francisco 49ers
Upton Stout to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
5Depth Chart CallsDeommodore LenoirSan Francisco 49ers
Deommodore Lenoir to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
6Depth Chart CallsJack JonesSan Francisco 49ers
Jack Jones to be 2nd on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
7Mock Draft PicksMax Iheanachor
Max Iheanachor to be picked “the first 50 picks”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
8Depth Chart CallsRenardo GreenSan Francisco 49ers
Renardo Green to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
34.4naive 28
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Bill Huber · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite their rib injury. They also sketch the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.Derek Brown · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. They were bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9.Danny Parkins · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Parkins named the seven AFC teams they believe are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as their Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.AJ Hawk · Game Outcome Picks · San Francisco 49ers · Hit 100
Hawk said the Chiefs would beat the Jets, the Seahawks would beat the Cardinals, and the 49ers would beat the Raiders, even while taking the points with the underdogs in each case.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.Nic Bodiford · Depth Chart Calls · Joe Fagnano · Hit 100
Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward.