Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · May 4, 2026
Brockman predicted only Stafford and Josh Allen of last year's MVP vote-getters get votes again, Fernando Mendoza starts and wins Rookie of the Year, the Colts win the AFC South, AJ Brown is traded to New England leaving DeVonta Smith as Philadelphia's clear No. 1 and a breakout star, five running backs top 1,600 yards, George Pickens breaks a Cowboys receiving record, and Justin Fields starts for Kansas City in September.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original
What Chris Brockman said
Fernando Mendoza's winning rookie of the year.
- Where it was said
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)
- The episode
- Malik Willis Concern Already? Mendoza as ROY? Mahomes' Return & More
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 12, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidMay 4
- GradedSep 18
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade and Signing Calls | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player Season Numbers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Award Picks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Depth Chart Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Division Winners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| All | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
How each call scored
16 checkable claims — 8 player season numbers, 3 award picks, 3 depth chart calls, 1 division winner and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 20 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 16 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 5 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 2 and below it on 3.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Fernando Mendoza · 2026 season28 calls from 24 pundits between 1 and 2. Chris Brockman said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Trade and Signing Calls1 hitShow ▸Hide ▾
A.J. Brown to move to New England Patriots
“Devante Smith is gonna have an Ole Miss teammate leave town. AJ Brown's going to New England.”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- A.J. Brown
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- NE
- was with:
- PHI
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- reported:
- traded → NE (from PHI)
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Player Season Numbers8 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Derrick Henry to record 1,600 rushing yards
“Derrick Henry does it... They just got a left guard who I think is gonna make the pro football hall of fame”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Ashton Jeanty to record 1,600 rushing yards
“I think Genti does it. You're out of your mind, dude... He had 2,000 yards in college.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- —Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Kenneth Walker III to record 1,600 rushing yards
“I think k nine in Kansas City gets it. Not a chance.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
James Cook to record 1,600 rushing yards
“We're gonna have five top 1,600 this year... You say James Cook does it again.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
George Pickens to record 1,750 receiving yards
“George Pickett is gonna set a cowboys receiving record this year. I don't know if it's receptions, one thirty five, or yards, seventeen fifty, both set by CD in 2023. He's breaking one of those.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
De'Von Achane to record 1,600 rushing yards
“Devin hanging. A chan. 1,600 yards. Mhmm. With Malik Willis who can't throw it to first base.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Jahmyr Gibbs to record 1,600 rushing yards
“Jameer Gibbs is gonna get nothing Gibbs. Gibbs is gonna do it.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Award Picks3 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Josh Allen to win receives MVP votes
“Only two are gonna get votes this year... I think it's gonna be Stafford and and Allen.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Fernando Mendoza to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“Even if he doesn't start until October, and he is gonna start this year Okay. Fernando Mendoza's winning rookie of the year.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Matthew Stafford to win receives MVP votes
“Only two are gonna get votes this year... I think it's gonna be Stafford and and Allen.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Depth Chart Calls3 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Fernando Mendoza to be 1st on the depth chart
“he is gonna start this year... And by the way, I think he's gonna start week one”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
DeVonta Smith to be 1st on the depth chart
“This is gonna be Devante Smith's first year as the clear cut number one wide receiver in Philadelphia.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Justin Fields to be 1st on the depth chart
“Even if Mahomes is ready to start week one, the Chiefs to start Justin Fields for all of September.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Division Winners1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
- —Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
A.J. Brown, New England Patriots, Derrick Henry, Ashton Jeanty, Bijan Robinson, Kenneth Walker III, Kansas City Chiefs, Josh Allen, Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders, James Cook, George Pickens, Dallas Cowboys, DeVonta Smith, Philadelphia Eagles, Matthew Stafford, De'Von Achane, Jahmyr Gibbs, Justin Fields, Indianapolis Colts
Others on the same people
Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.Joshua Poniatowski · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE.Jordan Dajani · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension.Mike Kadlick · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Kadlick names the Chiefs, Patriots and 49ers as the three best trade landing spots for Colts wide receiver Josh Downs ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline.
More player season numbers
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Ross Jackson · Player Season Numbers · Tyler Shough · Miss 4
Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.Chris Broussard · Player Season Numbers · Myles Garrett · Hit 92
Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. They also take the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record.Nick Wright · Player Season Numbers · Myles Garrett · Hit 100
Wright picks the Steelers to beat the Ravens outright in Pittsburgh, takes Seattle over San Francisco, and thinks the Browns lose to Cincinnati even as Myles Garrett gets the sack record.Nick Wright · Player Season Numbers · Myles Garrett · Hit 84
Nick Wright says Myles Garrett is playing at an all-time level and might reach 25 sacks this season, and among their weekly picks they expect the Bears to beat the Steelers in an ugly low-margin home win and Seattle to win comfortably at Tennessee.Rich Eisen · Player Season Numbers · Micah Parsons · Close 56
Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. They also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record.Daniel Jeremiah · Player Season Numbers · Jihaad Campbell · Miss 0
Jeremiah walked through their mock draft 3.0, slotting Cam Ward first overall to Tennessee, Abdul Carter to Cleveland at two, Shedeur Sanders to the Giants at three and Travis Hunter to New England at four, plus roughly twenty other first-round pairings. They also called Matthew Golden the first receiver off the board, said Tyler Booker would climb back into the latter third of the first round, expected Kirk Cousins to be traded, thought Jaire Alexander's Packers days were numbered, and predicted Cam Robinson would start at left tackle in Houston.