Connor Rogers· Oct 22, 2026
Rogers took the Bears to beat the Patriots on Thursday night in a close game, and expected two questionable Patriots defenders to play despite their injury designations.
“I'm gonna take the Bears on the short week.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast) · read the original →
3 checkable claims — 2 availability calls and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The game in this take
- Patriots at Bears 23 calls
3 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsOct 22, 2026
Chicago Bears to beat Patriots
“I'm gonna take the Bears on the short week. Okay. I think New England's, you know, lack of health at the moment, this might be the spot where it catches up to them... I don't think the Bears are gonna win by 10 points or anything like that.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 24-30
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
Closing line (Oct 22): Bears by 3 · favorite pick, Bears 58%.
“Christian Ellis logged full practices. He's questionable. I think he'll play.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
“Kevin Bayard. Yeah. He logged full practices, but he's still questionable. I think he'll play.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- John MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls · Caleb WilliamsMiss · 0Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 100Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
- Bryan DeArdoScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 98DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score.
- Pat FitzmauriceScore Predictions · New England PatriotsMiss · 14Fitzmaurice predicted a 24-21 Patriots win over the Packers, said he would not be surprised if Jonathan Taylor were inactive amid trade talk, pegged Jonah Coleman as an RB22 rest-of-season value, expected Evan Hull to be Arizona's backup back, and saw Kerby Joseph returning in Week 10 or 11.
- Kevin WildesGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsMiss · 0Wildes took Minnesota over Buffalo, predicted a comfortable roughly 10-point New England win over Green Bay, and switched his Super Bowl matchup to Jaguars–Bears.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsMiss · 0Wright argued the Jaguars are the AFC's most complete team, calling them the considerable favorite for the No. 1 seed and the only club essentially locked into the playoffs. He also picked Tampa Bay to upset Chicago, had Kansas City sweeping its next three games, liked New England over Green Bay by about a field goal, and updated his Super Bowl matchup to Chiefs–49ers.
More availability calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ralph VentreAvailability Calls · Keon ColemanPendingVentre states that despite being limited in all three practices with a shoulder issue and wearing a red non-contact jersey, Bills receiver Keon Coleman will be available to play in the Monday night game at Minnesota.
- Trevor RipleyAvailability Calls · Kyler MurrayPendingRipley picks the Bills to beat the Vikings in their Week 9 Monday night matchup, predicting a 27-20 Buffalo win, and expects Carson Wentz to start for Minnesota with Kyler Murray sidelined.
- Pat FitzmauriceAvailability Calls · Travis EtiennePendingIn his Week 10 waiver column, Fitzmaurice predicted Jonathan Taylor would likely be traded by the deadline, expected Travis Etienne Jr. not to return in Week 10 while Mike Evans, Garrett Wilson and Kyle Monangai return soon, and saw Shedeur Sanders holding Cleveland's starting job and Konata Mumpfield working as the Rams' top receiver.
- Jordan WoodsonAvailability Calls · Deshaun WatsonPendingWoodson expects Deshaun Watson to come back from his concussion in Week 10, limiting Shedeur Sanders to a late-season contingency, and thinks Jordan Watkins could remain San Francisco's top receiver against Dallas in Week 10 with Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel Sr. banged up.
- Carter BahnsAvailability Calls · J.J. McCarthyPendingBahns expects J.J. McCarthy to keep playing beyond this week despite the hip/side injury scare against the Eagles.
- Bill HuberAvailability Calls · Christian WatsonPendingHuber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.