Connor Rogers· Oct 23, 2026
Rogers picked winners for every Week 7 game, taking the Chiefs to win in Seattle, the Packers to upset the Lions in Detroit and Dallas to win in Philadelphia, and said he doesn't expect a banged-up Arizona running back to play.
“I'm taking the Packers to win as well, which is an upset.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast) · read the original →
13 checkable claims — 10 game outcome picks, 2 score predictions and 1 availability call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
12 of 13 have settled so far, averaging 59.5 out of 100, against 32.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Steelers at Saints 24 calls
- Browns at Titans 12 calls
- Dolphins at Jets 62 calls
- Bengals at Ravens 15 calls
- 49ers at Falcons 26 calls
- Colts at Vikings 19 calls
- Buccaneers at Panthers 11 calls
- Broncos at Cardinals 13 calls
- Rams at Raiders 24 calls
- Packers at Lions 21 calls
- Chiefs at Seahawks 23 calls
- Cowboys at Eagles 31 calls
13 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Score PredictionsDallas CowboysOct 23, 2026
Dallas Cowboys 23 — Eagles 20
“So I got Dallas winning this one twenty three twenty.”
Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 8.32+97.44 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 38-21
- skill:
- 97.44
- they picked:
- DAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 66.67
- baseline:
- 8.32
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.5
- predicted margin:
- 3
Closing line (Oct 26): Cowboys by 4.5, total 43.5 · this 23–20 calls a closer game (Cowboys by 3) and fewer points (43).
- Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosOct 23, 2026
Denver Broncos to beat Arizona
“I'm going with Arizona to cover this game. Oh, okay. I I think Denver wins”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+167 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 30-16
- skill:
- 167
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- ARI
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
Closing line (Oct 25): Broncos by 4.5 · favorite pick, Broncos about 2 in 3 (67%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsOct 23, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to beat Raiders
“We see this one very closely. I'm with you. I think the Rams win. I do not think they cover.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+167 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 35-21
- skill:
- 167
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LV
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
Closing line (Oct 25): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams 62%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsOct 23, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Seahawks
“I'm gonna take the Chiefs. Yeah. Now they're getting three points. I think they win.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-167 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SEA
- score:
- 3-20
- skill:
- −167
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
Closing line (Oct 25): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, Chiefs 41%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
- Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay PackersOct 23, 2026
Green Bay Packers to beat Lions
“I'm taking the Packers to win as well, which is an upset.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-167 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DET
- score:
- 17-20
- skill:
- −167
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DET
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
Closing line (Oct 25): Lions by 3.5 · underdog pick, Packers 37%.
- Score PredictionsSan Francisco 49ersOct 23, 2026
San Francisco 49ers 27 — Atlanta Falcons 17
“I'm gonna go twenty seven seventeen... So take one touchdown off the board for the Atlanta Falcons.”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 77.89-50.56 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 20-29
- skill:
- −50.56
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 47.62
- baseline:
- 77.89
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.28
- predicted margin:
- 10
Closing line (Oct 25): 49ers by 2.5, total 49.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 10) and fewer points (44).
- Game Outcome PicksNew York JetsOct 23, 2026
New York Jets to beat Dolphins
“I am low confidence gonna take the Jets to win in cover”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- MIA
- score:
- 28-25
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NYJ
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
Closing line (Oct 25): Jets by 3.5 · favorite pick, Jets about 2 in 3 (66%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
- Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh SteelersOct 23, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Saints
“I'm not gonna pick the Saints to win. I am gonna pick them to cover.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+167 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 16-10
- skill:
- 167
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NO
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
Closing line (Oct 25): Steelers by 3 · favorite pick, Steelers 59%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
- Game Outcome PicksMinnesota VikingsOct 23, 2026
Minnesota Vikings to beat Colts
“So both Chris and I are on a Minnesota win and cover.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- MIN
- score:
- 10-16
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- MIN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- MIN
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
Closing line (Oct 25): Vikings by 6.5 · favorite pick, Vikings about 3 in 4 (73%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
- Game Outcome PicksCincinnati BengalsOct 23, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Ravens
“So I'm gonna go with Cincinnati, winning and covering, but it is low confidence”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+167 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CIN
- score:
- 35-13
- skill:
- 167
- they picked:
- CIN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
Closing line (Oct 25): Bengals by 3 · favorite pick, Bengals 59%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
- Game Outcome PicksCarolina PanthersOct 23, 2026
Carolina Panthers to beat Bucs
“I'm gonna take the Panthers as well, but it's a lower confidence pick for me”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- TB
- score:
- 43-13
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- CAR
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- CAR
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
Closing line (Oct 25): Panthers by 3 · favorite pick, Panthers 60%.
- Game Outcome PicksCleveland BrownsOct 23, 2026
Cleveland Browns to beat Titans
“I'm gonna have the Browns win a close one. I'm gonna take the Browns winning cover.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+167 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CLE
- score:
- 27-24
- skill:
- 167
- they picked:
- CLE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- TEN
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
Closing line (Oct 25): Browns by 1.5 · a toss-up, Browns 54%, Titans 46%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
“I I don't know the status of Jeremiah Love for this game. I don't think he's gonna play, then they'll get Bam Knight and Algier going. (Week 7, Broncos at Cardinals)”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersClose · 64Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
- Derek BrownGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. He was bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.
- AJ HawkGame Outcome Picks · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100Hawk said the Chiefs would beat the Jets, the Seahawks would beat the Cardinals, and the 49ers would beat the Raiders, even while taking the points with the underdogs in each case.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · San Francisco 49ersHit · 93Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said he wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jeremy BrenerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
- Albert BreerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.
- Dave RichardGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
- John PluymGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
- Pamela MaldonadoGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Maldonado picks the Seahawks in Week 9.