Loading…
Loading…
Cynthia Frelund is a television sports analyst and writer who works for NFL Network, where Frelund specializes in predictive analysis. Before joining NFL Network, Frelund worked at ESPN and the NFL's League Office. The predictions tracked here come from podcast appearances on Around the NFL, Move the Sticks, and The Herd with Colin Cowherd, covering weekly game picks through the playoffs and into the Super Bowl. The work touches the Patriots, Bills, Texans, Broncos, Eagles, Packers, Lions and Chiefs, along with player-season projections, fantasy sleepers and draft-position calls.
More about Cynthia Frelund ↓Writes at Move the Sticks (podcast)
Across 100 graded calls in 28 articles, Cynthia Frelund scores 60.25% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 18.73, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #45 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 104 calls · one square per call
54hits54% of graded
6Close6%
40misses40%
4
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
Cynthia Frelund is a television sports analyst and writer who works for NFL Network, where Frelund specializes in predictive analysis. Before joining NFL Network, Frelund worked at ESPN and the NFL's League Office. The predictions tracked here come from podcast appearances on Around the NFL, Move the Sticks, and The Herd with Colin Cowherd, covering weekly game picks through the playoffs and into the Super Bowl. The work touches the Patriots, Bills, Texans, Broncos, Eagles, Packers, Lions and Chiefs, along with player-season projections, fantasy sleepers and draft-position calls.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
100 graded calls in 28 articles, newest first — page 1 of 4. Every take from Cynthia Frelund, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Cynthia Frelund would be #46; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #45.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | Richard Sherman | 20.81 | 57.66% | 213 |
| 44 | Bobby Kownack | 19.38 | 46.43% | 39 |
| 45 | Cynthia Frelund | 18.73 | 60.25% | 100 |
| 46 | Jason McIntyre | 18.7 | 64.93% | 98 |
| 47 | Kevin Wildes | 18.47 | 41.89% | 32 |
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
“I have the Seahawks winning by more than four and a half points... Now the model feels that the Seattle Seahawks win.”
Seattle Seahawks to beat Rams
“I'll take Seattle because I have a two point win. I'm going to stick with my math”
Closing line (Jan 25): Seahawks by 2.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 56%.
Denver Broncos to beat Patriots
“I have the Broncos winning it straight up, who by one point?”
Closing line (Jan 25): Patriots by 3.5 · underdog pick, Broncos about 1 in 3 (36%).
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
“we're not The Seahawks got it to win the Super Bowl. / Yep, you already know. Well, I mean I just ran my model”
Denver Broncos to beat Bills
“Picking Denver in the home upset against the Bills... I think that the Broncos in this one, I think that they win, and I think they win by more than one point.”
Closing line (Jan 17): Broncos by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 48%, Broncos 52%.
Los Angeles Rams to beat Bears
“I think this week, in freezing cold conditions, they pull through and they win by more than four points, and that's the rams”
Closing line (Jan 18): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams about 2 in 3 (64%).
New England Patriots to beat Texans
“I have the Texans by two, so technically I have the Patriot Sorry, the Patriots by two, so the Texans technically on the right side of that.”
Closing line (Jan 18): Patriots by 3 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%.
Los Angeles Rams to beat Panthers
“Yeah, I'm going to hop on that one with you... So when it does, I have an eleven point win, I'm going to go with it”
Closing line (Jan 10): Rams by 10 · favorite pick, Rams about 4 in 5 (81%).
Green Bay Packers to beat Bears
“I think the Green Bay Packers are going to win. I know you agree with me. I do because we already did game DEVUW”
Closing line (Jan 10): Packers by 2.5 · favorite pick, Packers 55%.
New England Patriots to beat Chargers
“I think that the New England Patriots. They win by at least three and a half points, so at least four points... I think the Pats easily win this one.”
Closing line (Jan 11): Patriots by 3.5 · favorite pick, Patriots 64%.
Trey Lance to be 1st on the depth chart
“especially now that we know that the Chargers they are not playing their starters. It's going to be Trey Lance.”
Houston Texans to beat Chargers
“ultimately I think that the Texans take care of business and have the upset here at SOFI Stadium... I think Houston has the edge in this one.”
Closing line (Dec 27): Chargers by 1.5 · a toss-up, Texans 48%, Chargers 52%.