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Cynthia Frelund#45 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 3, 2026

Freeland's model picked the Seattle Seahawks to win Super Bowl 60, by roughly six points, citing the Patriots' offensive line (especially Will Campbell's health at left tackle) as the biggest mismatch.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
SEA won itWhat happenedpicked SEA
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#45Cynthia Frelund’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Cynthia Frelund said

Now the model feels that the Seattle Seahawks win.
Our reading: Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
Super Bowl Picks with Cynthia Frelund + Hall of Fame Snubs
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 3
  2. GradedAug 5

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Super Bowl PicksSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl

    What happenedSEA won itpicked SEA
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

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