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Cynthia Frelund#45 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 2, 2026

Freeland picked the Broncos to beat the Chargers, the Rams over the banged-up Cardinals and the Bills over the Jets in Buffalo's stadium finale, while also liking the Texans over Indianapolis and the Eagles. They said Trey Lance would start at quarterback for the Chargers.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

92Hit · out of 100
No. 2What happenedcalled No. 1 · by passing yards
91.67A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
91.67This callout of 100
#45Cynthia Frelund’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Cynthia Frelund said

The Broncos they want to secure the one.
Our reading: Trey Lance to be 1st on the depth chart
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
NFL Week 18 Picks with Cynthia Frelund | Capitalizing on Teams Resting Starters
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJan 2
  2. GradedAug 5

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 91.7 out of 100, against 91.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

1They said
2What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Depth Chart CallsTrey LanceLos Angeles Chargers

    Trey Lance to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 2called No. 1 · by passing yards
    91.67Hit · naive 91.67
    91.67this call91.67a naive guess0better than naive1.06difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    LAC
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Trey Lance
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    3
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    1.06
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    1
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

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