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Cynthia Frelund#45 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 26, 2025

Freeland picked three games: the Texans to upset the Chargers at SoFi Stadium behind their pass rush, the 49ers to beat the Bears on Sunday night, and the Patriots to handle the Jets.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Game Outcome PicksThe callsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#45Cynthia Frelund’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Cynthia Frelund said

Ultimately I think that the Texans take care of business and have the upset here at SOFI Stadium.
Our reading: Houston Texans to beat Chargers
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
Week 17 NFL Picks with Cynthia Frelund
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidDec 26, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksHouston Texans

    Houston Texans to beat Chargers

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.11difficulty+111skill

    Closing line (Dec 27): Chargers by 1.5 · a toss-up, Texans 48%, Chargers 52%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    HOU
    score:
    20-16
    skill:
    111
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    1.11
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    2
    Think this is wrong?

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