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Dan PizzutaOct 2, 2024

Pizzuta ranks all 32 starting quarterbacks heading into Week 5, with Patrick Mahomes first, Josh Allen second and Bo Nix last, and notes Allen still has a path to the MVP award.

Published in writing · The 33rd TeamRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
Josh Allen wonWhat happenedsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
+178Skillafter difficulty

What Dan Pizzuta said

Mahomes has not played particularly well in the first four weeks of the season, but he's still the best quarterback in the league.
Our reading: Josh Allen to win MVP
Where it was published
The 33rd Team
The piece
2024 NFL Week 5 QB Power Rankings: C.J. Stroud Enters Top 5 | The 33rd Team
The original
The copy as archived Oct 3, 2024
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The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy is the record of what it said.

  1. SaidOct 2, 2024
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Award PicksJosh AllenBuffalo Bills

    Josh Allen to win MVP

    What happenedJosh Allen won
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.78difficulty+178skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
    skill:
    178
    player:
    Josh Allen
    season:
    2024
    who won:
    Josh Allen
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14
    Think this is wrong?

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