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Dan PizzutaSep 4, 2024

Pizzuta ranks all 32 starting NFL quarterbacks entering Week 1 of the 2024 season, with Patrick Mahomes first and rookie Bo Nix last.

Published in writing · The 33rd TeamRead the original

92Hit · out of 100
No. 2What happenedcalled No. 1 · by passing yards
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
91.67This callout of 100
−16.67Skillafter difficulty

What Dan Pizzuta said

Patrick Mahomes makes everything easier for his offense.
Our reading: Jacoby Brissett to be 1st on the depth chart
Where it was published
The 33rd Team
The piece
2024 NFL Week 1 QB Power Rankings: Stafford, Prescott Enter Top Tier | The 33rd Team

The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy is the record of what it said.

  1. SaidSep 4, 2024
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 91.7 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

1They said
2What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Depth Chart CallsJacoby BrissettNew England Patriots

    Jacoby Brissett to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 2called No. 1 · by passing yards
    91.67Hit · naive 100
    91.67this call100a naive guess−8.33worse than naive2difficulty−16.67skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    NE
    skill:
    −16.67
    player:
    Jacoby Brissett
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

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The same kind of call, about other players and teams.